Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 011012
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Three Lakes WMA Ridgewood Ranch...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
612 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A frontal boundary will sag through central Florida
today, resulting in increasing onshore winds, along with a slight
chance for lightning storms early in the afternoon. Smoke
dispersion will be good from late morning onward.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    east around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-1500 ft AGL increasing to 3700-4000 ft AGL
                    late in the morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6-12 increasing to 40-45
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  63  63  63  67  67  67  72
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  79  82  84  85  86  87  87  86  85
RH..............90  82  72  67  65  61  59  59  61  63
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   6   6   7   8   9   10  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   12  13  15  16  18  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   9   9   10  10  12  14  15
Dispersion idx..6   12  24  37  38  39  45  40  37  39
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1300-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....34 decreasing to 12 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 5 after midnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........72     71     71     80     70     70
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............83     79     78     76     74     73
RH..............67     76     80     84     86     88
20 ft wind......E 15   E 13   E 10   E 8    E 8    E 8
20 ft wind gust.20     18     17     13     13     9
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   1700   1000   600    600    500
Transport wind..E 15   E 14   E 13   E 12   E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..35     16     12     11     7      7
LVORI...........3      4      4      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Chance of showers
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2500 ft AGL increasing to 3200-3800 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........79        74        74        72
Weather cov.....S CHC               CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        30        30        30
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............71        78        81        83
RH..............93        74        63        59
20 FT wind......E 8G10    E 12G16   E 16G22   E 17G23
Mix hgt (ft)....900       1900      3400      3800
Transport wind..E 12      E 17      E 18      E 18
Dispersion idx..8         32        47        50
LVORI...........5         3         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Cristaldi
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2007326.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/01/20
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com


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