Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KSJT 221337
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Oglesby...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
837 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on July 22.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light mainly south winds this morning will become northeast or
east-northeast by 1 PM this afternoon. Northeast winds will
increase to 10-15 mph during the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
are expected after 4 PM. Scattered thunderstorms are expected
this evening into tonight. Strong, erratic winds will be possible
in and near any storms.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).............10     12     26     37     42
Weather cov.........
Weather type........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1
Temp................77     85     92     95     96
RH..................71     51     37     30     28
20 FT wind dir......S      S      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd......5      5      7      9      10
20 FT wind gust.....7      7      9      11     15
Haines index........3      3      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1900, then 9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).............46     49     50     57     61     66
Weather cov.........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov............       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
LAL.................1      3      3      3      3      3
Temp................95     87     82     78     74     72
RH..................30     40     51     60     71     79
20 FT wind dir......E      NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......12     10     8      8      9      10
20 FT wind gust.....17     14     10     10     11     14
Haines index........5      5      5      5      4      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 1300, then No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............62     56     42     24     16     11
Weather cov.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
LAL.................3      3      3      3      1      1
Temp................70     71     76     82     87     90
RH..................84     79     64     47     38     31
20 FT wind dir......NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......10     10     12     13     13     13
20 FT wind gust.....14     14     17     18     18     18
Haines index........3      3      3      3      3      5

$$
Forecaster...GROH
Requested by...Belinda Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1912542.0/SJT
.DELDT 07/22/19


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