Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 142142
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
442 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
442 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...North of Interstate 44.
ONSET...After 6 PM.

DISCUSSION...

There is an elevated risk of severe thunderstorms late this
afternoon and into the evening, for areas to the north of
Interstate 44 in northeast Oklahoma. A limited risk of severe
storms will continue overnight, mainly for areas along and west of
highway 75 in northeast and east central Oklahoma. Hail to the
size of golfballs and damaging winds to 65 mph would be the main
threats with the late afternoon and early evening storms,
transitioning to a damaging wind threat overnight.

Storms may develop over north central Oklahoma this afternoon
ahead of a dryline and south of a weak front. If storms do
develop in this region, they would move into northeast Oklahoma
this evening and would pose the greatest severe threat. Other
storms developing well to the west may organize into clusters and
move east into the region during the overnight hours. A gradually
lessening damaging wind threat would exist with these storms,
mainly along and west of highway 75, before weakening is expected.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A weak upper level trough and a residual boundaries left from
previous convection will maintain thunderstorm chances Tuesday and
Wednesday. Ridging aloft will bring a return to hot and dry
weather Thursday and Friday. A frontal boundary will bring another
round of thunderstorm potential mainly toward the latter part of
the upcoming weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Lacy



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