Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 030520 AAC
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
120 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

...06Z Aviation Forecast Discussion...


.UPDATE...

Minor near term adjustments made to dewpt trends, otherwise just
some mid/upper level clouds across some southern portions of the
area and should be a quiet night on tap. Previous discussion
follows...

Baker

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 917 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020/

UPDATE...

00z Aviation update below.

Baker

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 309 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

Fairly quiet short term forecast in store with dry weather expected
through the rest of this afternoon. Being on the western edge of
surface high pressure off the Atlantic coast, the better moisture
has been mostly to our south. Otherwise, as the surface high
pressure continues to push east and the flow aloft becomes nearly
zonal, two waves moving through the flow are expected to approach
the area from the west bringing increased chances for showers and
thunderstorms to the area on Wednesday. The first wave is expected
to move out of the Tennessee Valley, bringing at least slight chance
to chance pops to the western tier of the CWA. The second wave is
expected to lift northeast out of the Gulf, bringing additional
moisture to the southern and western portions of the CWA. This will
also help to increase chances for showers and thunderstorms across
the western tier on Wednesday although the precipitation is expected
to be mainly diurnal.

High temperatures today are expected to get into the 80s area wide
with overnight temperatures in the 60s. By Wednesday afternoon,
temperatures will be just slightly higher with highs again with the
80s with some sites across central Georgia reaching 90 degrees, just
around average for this time of year.

Reaves

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Ridge axis still looks to have a good hold on southern GA early
Thursday. A weak frontal boundary will begin to sag southward across
far north GA, but not confident on how far south this boundary will
make it before dissipating. The weak boundary may provide just
enough focus for some organized convection Thursday afternoon. There
should be ample surface instability and mid level lapse rates should
be steep enough, but shear remains low at this time. A few strong
storms are not out of the question along or just ahead of the
boundary and an isolated severe storm cannot be ruled out.

Good southerly flow is expected off of the Gulf for the weekend into
early next week, so chances for showers and thunderstorms will
continue. TS Cristobal is forecast to start pushing northward into
the Gulf Saturday and continuing north for the remainder of the
weekend into early next week.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...

VFR conditions are expected to predominate across the forecast area
through the forecast period. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are likely between 16Z and 02Z, primarily across the
western and far northern portions of the area. Winds will be light
south to southwest or calm through 12Z, becoming southwest to west
at 5-10kt by 14-16Z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

High.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  89  69  86 /   0  10  20  40
Atlanta         68  87  69  84 /   5  20  30  40
Blairsville     61  83  64  80 /   5  20  30  60
Cartersville    66  88  67  85 /   5  30  30  50
Columbus        69  89  69  86 /   5  30  20  40
Gainesville     66  86  68  83 /   5  20  20  50
Macon           66  90  69  83 /   0  10  20  40
Rome            66  89  68  86 /   5  30  40  60
Peachtree City  66  88  67  85 /   5  30  20  40
Vidalia         66  90  70  84 /   5   5  20  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reaves/Baker
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...Baker


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