Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 271134
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
634 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

Water vapor imagery currently shows upper low centered over far
northeast TX with a vort lobe stretching from eastern OK into LA.
This feature is expected to remain nearly stationary today. Should
see an increase in showers and a isolated storms today as the
vort lobe continues to rotate back tot the west. Still not
thinking areal coverage will be that great, but more of the
scattered variety.

Not out of the question to see a couple small storms exhibit low
topped supercell structures which may lead to a few funnel cloud
reports. Feel the better chances for this will be over the Ozark
region. This will mainly be due to high 0-3km CAPE, minimal
capping and around 20-30kts of 0-6km shear.

Upper low will start to move east tonight into Thu which will
allow the better rainfall chances to also migrate east. By early
Thu evening, only far southeast KS will maintain precip chances.

Below normal temps will remain in place today with readings
topping out in the low to mid 70s. Highs will increase a few
degrees for Thu but will still be a couple degrees below seasonal
normals.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

Upper impulse will be situated over the Tennessee Valley by Fri
afternoon with upper ridging building over the Desert Southwest.
Upper ridging will slowly build east through the weekend providing
dry conditions and warming temps. Warming trend is expected to
continue into the start of the work week with highs in the upper
80s to around 90 by Tue.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

VFR conditions are expected to dominate the region today with a
slight chance for showers or thunderstorms. The rain chances are
small enough to keep them out of the TAF but can`t be completely
ruled out. HUT, ICT and CNU are the mostly terminals to see any
rain or thunderstorms. Any activity that does occur is expected to
be isolated.

Metzger

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    75  58  76  57 /  20  30  30   0
Hutchinson      75  57  77  54 /  20  30  30   0
Newton          74  57  76  55 /  20  30  30   0
ElDorado        74  57  75  56 /  30  30  30   0
Winfield-KWLD   75  57  76  57 /  30  30  30   0
Russell         74  55  78  53 /  10  10  20   0
Great Bend      75  55  78  54 /  10  20  20   0
Salina          74  58  78  54 /  20  30  30   0
McPherson       74  56  76  54 /  20  30  30   0
Coffeyville     74  58  75  59 /  40  30  50  10
Chanute         74  59  74  58 /  40  40  50  10
Iola            74  59  75  57 /  40  50  60  10
Parsons-KPPF    74  59  74  59 /  40  40  50  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...ELM



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.