Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 031927
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
327 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020

.Near Term.../through Thursday/...

A disturbance in a 500mb trough will pivot east northeast across the
region Tonight through Thursday. The combination of increasing
moisture due to southerly flow, and the lift provided by the
disturbance will result in showers and storms. This activity is
expected to start across southern counties this evening, then spread
across the area Tonight and through the day on Thursday.

While overnight lows will be seasonal Tonight, the rain and clouds
will keep readings below normal on Thursday, with highs in
the lower 80s expected.

&&

.Short Term.../Thursday night through Sunday/...

Short wave energy in base of upper trough will be to the northeast
by Thursday night. Surface high pressure will be east southeast of
the region Thursday night through Friday night. This pattern will
keep moisture across the region, with diurnal instability leading to
best convective chances during daytime Friday.

The high will move further to the east Saturday into Sunday.
Moisture is expected to stream northeastward toward the region from
the east side of the gulf tropical system, with showers and storms
becoming numerous over the weekend.

Temperatures will trend near normal at night, with highs a little
below normal this period, due to expected cloud and precipitation
coverage.

&&

.Long Term.../Sunday night through Wednesday/...

Surface high pressure will be east northeast of the region this
period. The region will be between the high and the tropical system
to the west early this period. With moisture to the east of the
tropical system still affecting region early in the period,
precipiation chances will remain higher than normal. For Tuesday
through Wednesday, convection will largely be diurnally driven with
a more typical summer time pattern expected.

Lows will trend a little above normal this period, due to expected
cloud cover reducing radiative cooling. Highs will trend below
normal early in the period, then back to near normal later in the
period.

&&

.Marine...

High pressure will be east of the region through Friday. The region
will be between high pressure to the east northeast, and a tropical
system over the gulf over the weekend.

Rip Currents: SE GA: Low risk Thursday
              NE FL: Moderate risk Thursday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  69  83  70  86  70 /  20  50  40  60  30
SSI  73  78  72  83  73 /  40  60  60  60  40
JAX  71  83  70  85  72 /  50  60  60  70  40
SGJ  71  80  70  84  71 /  70  80  70  70  40
GNV  69  81  70  83  70 /  60  60  70  80  50
OCF  71  81  70  84  70 /  70  70  70  80  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&



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