


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
551 FXUS66 KPDT 152335 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 435 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .UPDATED AVIATION...00Z...VFR conditions will persist across all TAF sites except for RDM/BDN due to smoke from the Cram Fire. RDM VIS has dropped to near 2SM and is expected to lift to 4SM later in the afternoon while BDN is at 4SM and will vary between 4SM and 6SM through the period. All TAF site will see breezy to windy conditions through 08-09Z with winds between 11-15 and gusts to 25 kts. Bennese/90 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 219 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025/ SHORT TERM...today through Friday morning... Satellite shows plumes of smoke from the Cram fire flowing into Deschutes county and, to a lesser extent, Crook county. Winds currently from the NE will shift more to the NNE/N in the later afternoon hours, throwing some chances of smoke for the Redmond/Bend area for the rest of the afternoon into the early evening hours. Temperatures are 5-15 degrees cooler than yesterday and will re- enter a warming trend through the short term as a shortwave exits the region. Mid-level winds in the synoptic pattern will pave for some breezy conditions through the region. Combined with low RHs and windy conditions, many parts of the region will see some region of overlap (20-40% chance). Several fire weather zones in Central OR will see decent coverage of overlap in Thursday. Given that, we`ve issued Fire Weather Watches for ORZ696-698-703 Thursday afternoon into the evening hours. LONG TERM...Friday morning through Tuesday...Fire weather critical conditions continue through Friday as dry/windy conditions. A little too far out to issue watches, but more than likely will issue some watches for Friday in the next 12-24 hours. SPC notes a 40% hatch over Central OR into much of the Basin for Friday for critical fire conditions. A trough pattern re-appears going into the weekend as a cold front is expected to enter the region sometime Saturday, bringing back cooler temperatures, wetter conditions, and less elevated fire conditions overall. Min RH`s will recover as the cold front pattern starts, with values between 20-30% for most of the area. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 57 91 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 60 91 67 95 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 57 93 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 61 92 63 96 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 57 93 62 98 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 58 93 62 95 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 48 91 52 93 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 55 88 57 92 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 51 91 57 95 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 64 95 66 95 / 0 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening for ORZ696-698-703. WA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...95 LONG TERM....95 AVIATION...90