Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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087 FXUS01 KWBC 130801 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 Valid 12Z Sat Dec 13 2025 - 12Z Mon Dec 15 2025 ...Record warmth for much of the West this weekend, while arctic air expands over eastern half of the country... ...Swath of snow to spread from Northern Plains to Midwest today, then Central Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Coast tonight... ...Lake effect snow returns this weekend... ...Next round of precipitation arrives over Pacific Northwest on Sunday... Broad upper-level ridging will continue record warm conditions across much of the West this weekend. High temperatures will be 15-25 degrees above average today and Sunday, while California`s Central Valley experiences high temperatures in the 40s due to clouds, which will be 10-20 degrees below average. Surface high pressure will build over the Central and Eastern U.S. this weekend. An arctic airmass will descend over the lower 48 via Northern/Central Plains and Upper/Middle Mississippi Valleys today then expand into the Midwest, Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley and East Coast on Sunday. Some low maximum temperature records may be broken over the Upper Midwest/Michigan today with highs in the single digits to sub-zeros. Extreme Cold Warnings are in effect for portions of northwestern Minnesota into northeastern North Dakota this morning. Low max temperatures may also be broken over the Midwest on Sunday, when highs in the teens will be 20-30 degrees below average. Mid-level energy moving through the southern periphery of an upper low spinning across the Great Lakes will generate a fast-hitting swath of light to moderate snowfall from the Northern Plains to the Ohio Valley today. Snow then moves into the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Coast tonight through early Sunday morning. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect from the Northern Plains to Mid-Atlantic Coast. A low pressure system will generate snow showers across the Great Lakes today followed by frigid northwesterly flow on the backside of the cold front producing additional lake effect snow through the rest of the weekend. A relatively brief period of respite for the Pacific Northwest, following the period of highly impactful rainfall earlier in the week, will come to an end on Sunday, when a deep low pressure system will bring another round of moisture to the region Sunday morning and then a more substantial plume late Sunday night into Monday. Kebede Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$