Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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134
FNUS53 KMQT 191016
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...

.DISCUSSION: The combination of warm, dry and gusty southwest
winds today will make for elevated fire weather concerns over
parts of central and eastern Upper Michigan, areas that did not
received beneficial rain yesterday. Tomorrow, gusty southwest
winds and warm conditions will persist ahead of an approaching
cold front from the northwest. With moisture trying to return
northward ahead of the front, RHs look be higher tomorrow. There
is a chance for precipitation along the front as it moves through
late Tuesday/Tuesday night, but overall chances for widespread
rain don`t look promising.

Behind the front, fall-like weather is on the way as a dry and
colder airmass overspreads the region Wednesday into Friday.
Daytime highs will be running 5 to 10 degrees below normal for
this time of year during this time period, with what is shaping
up to be another stretch of dry weather. On Thursday, a wave will
drop south across the Upper Great Lakes, which could help produce
some very light rain showers out east during the day. A warming
trend back to near or slightly above normal temperatures is
expected through the weekend. The next best chance for widespread
precipitation doesn`t look to arrive until later next weekend into
early next week.

MIZ001-003-201030-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-82 inland to around 76 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......39 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....59-64 inland to around 66 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........80-85 percent inland to 76 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
                    of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 76 at the shore.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west with gusts to around 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.05-0.27
                    inch over Isle Royale.
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-201030-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019 /516 AM CDT Mon Aug 19 2019/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph
                    by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....53-58 inland to around 62 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent inland to 76 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 75 at the shore.
Min humidity........41-46 percent inland to 56 percent at the
                    shore.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    west by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2.

$$

MIZ004-005-201030-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....52-57 inland to around 64 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-94 percent inland to 75 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west
                    late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
                    chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.

$$

MIZ010-011-201030-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
516 AM CDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
                    11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 5
                    mph or less late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
                    chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.

$$

MIZ012-201030-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
516 AM CDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent inland to 40 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph
                    by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........45-50 percent inland to 54 percent at the
                    shore.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-201030-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....54-59 inland to around 65 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent inland to 72 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ013-201030-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........30-35 percent inland to 43 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south 8
                    to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 52 inland to around 59 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph
                    late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-84.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ014-095-201030-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....54-59 inland to around 60 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-83 inland to around 75 at the shore.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph increasing to 9 to
                    14 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ096-097-201030-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-82 inland to around 75 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by
                    mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 76 at the shore.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ088-201030-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent inland to 88 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ086-087-201030-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
616 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent inland to 87 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
LAL.................1.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 50 to 55 inland to around 60 at
the shore. Highs 69 to 74 inland to around 68 at the shore.
Northwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 49 inland to
around 57 at the shore. Highs 64 to 69 inland to around 63 at the
shore. North 4 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 46 inland to around 54 at the
shore. Highs 71 to 76. Variable winds 5 mph or less.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms over the west late. Lows 47 to 52 inland to
around 58 at the shore. Highs 74 to 79.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57 inland to around 61 at the shore.
Highs 75 to 80.

.Outlook for Mon Aug 26 through Sun Sep  1...expect above normal
temperatures and above normal precipitation.

$$

...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................

The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE  / 5100  / SW 8    /   408 (G)
200301 /       KENTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 5200  / SW 14   /   728 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW       / 6200  / SW 14   /   868 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 4 LOW       / 6400  / SW 10   /   640 (E)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 6600  / SW 9    /   594 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 6600  / SW 9    /   594 (G)
200703 /        GWINN/ 4 LOW       / 6300  / SW 11   /   693 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW       / 5600  / SW 10   /   560 (G)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 4 LOW       / 6500  / W 17    /   1105 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 3 VERY LOW  / 7500  / W 11    /   825 (E)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW       / 5400  / SW 11   /   594 (G)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 6700  / W 9     /   603 (E)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 4 LOW       / 7600  / W 10    /   760 (E)
201202 /        SENEY/ 4 LOW       / 6700  / SW 9    /   603 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 7300  / W 10    /   730 (E)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 5900  / SW 9    /   531 (G)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE  / 4300  / SW 16   /   688 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE  / 5000  / SW 13   /   650 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW       / 6000  / W 13    /   780 (E)
       /          KEW/ 5 MODERATE  / 4600  / W 24    /   1104 (E)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Tue...

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3400  / SW 18   /   612 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / SW 19   /   665 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW       / 4500  / SW 19   /   855 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 4 LOW       / 2400  / SW 18   /   432 (G)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 4300  / SW 19   /   817 (E)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 4100  / SW 19   /   779 (E)
200703 /        GWINN/ 4 LOW       / 4600  / SW 21   /   966 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / SW 17   /   595 (G)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 4 LOW       / 4900  / SW 17   /   833 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 4 LOW       / 4900  / SW 20   /   980 (E)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3700  / SW 18   /   666 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 4 LOW       / 3300  / SW 20   /   660 (E)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 4 LOW       / 5000  / SW 19   /   950 (E)
201202 /        SENEY/ 4 LOW       / 3600  / SW 19   /   684 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 4200  / SW 19   /   798 (E)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 3700  / SW 18   /   666 (E)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE  / 3500  / SW 21   /   735 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE  / 3400  / SW 20   /   680 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3200  / SW 14   /   448 (G)
       /          KEW/ 4 LOW       / 900   / W 13    /   117 (P)

Note:  Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
       Transport winds are in miles per hour

.....................................................................

The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.

WIMS ID/         Site/Temp/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  77/  35/   4/   8/  SW/0.00
200301 /       KENTON/  77/  33/   6/  11/  SW/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  78/  33/   6/  11/  SW/0.00
201004 /     MUNISING/  78/  38/   4/   8/  SW/0.00
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  80/  30/   5/  10/  SW/0.00
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  80/  31/   5/   9/  SW/0.00
200703 /        GWINN/  79/  30/   6/  11/  SW/0.00
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  77/  32/   5/   9/  SW/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  80/  33/   8/  12/   W/0.00
201504 /         RACO/  78/  35/   5/   9/   W/0.00
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  77/  33/   5/  10/  SW/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  78/  35/   6/  10/  SW/0.00
201505 /      RUDYARD/  78/  33/   5/   9/   W/0.00
201202 /        SENEY/  78/  34/   5/   9/  SW/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  78/  34/   5/   9/   W/0.00
201102 /   STONINGTON/  79/  38/   6/  10/   S/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  75/  35/   8/  12/  SW/0.00
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  75/  33/   5/  10/  SW/0.00
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  76/  38/   5/   8/   W/0.00
       /          KEW/  76/  38/  12/  20/   W/0.00
$$

Ritzman



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