Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
562 FNUS53 KMQT 170845 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 ...Drier today although a chance for some afternoon showers west, then possible elevated wildfire concerns on Saturday... .DISCUSSION: Mostly dry conditions are expected today under surface high pressure, although an advancing warm front could bring some showers into the western zones this afternoon. Elevated wildfire concerns could develop on Saturday as increasing southerly winds send inland temperatures soaring into the 80s. The combination of southerly winds gusting as high as 30 mph and min RHs lowering near 30 percent could result in elevated wildfire concerns over the west half of the U.P. Saturday afternoon. A cold front moving across the area from west to east could also generate some scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Much drier conditions develop behind the cold front on Sunday as RHs could dip to around 20 percent over much of the interior. Fortunately, winds look lighter on Sunday, generally 10 mph or less, which should ease fire weather concerns. MIZ001-003-180845- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy dense fog early. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....65-70 inland to around 58 at the shore. 24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....46-51. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........84-89 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.02-0.24 inch. LAL.................3 until 2100, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 72 at the shore. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.02-0.22 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and none to 0.02 inch over Isle Royale. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. $$ MIZ002-009-084-180845- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 /345 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 76 inland to around 69 at the shore. 24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1700, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Max humidity........77-82 percent inland to 67 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......23 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. LAL.................3 until 2200, then 2 until 0200, then 1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....81-86. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25 mph increasing to southwest 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 35 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.03-0.25 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2. $$ MIZ004-005-180845- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74 inland to around 62 at the shore. 24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent inland to 46 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......22 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. LAL.................2 until 0100, then 1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. $$ MIZ010-011-180845- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 345 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 24 hr trend......29 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 3. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 51. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Max humidity........89-94 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph increasing to 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 30 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. $$ MIZ012-180845- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 345 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 75 inland to around 67 at the shore. 24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-44 percent inland to 48 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......24 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 48. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........94-99 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 71 at the shore. Min humidity........35-40 percent inland to 46 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph increasing to 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........11. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ006-007-085-180845- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....Around 72 inland to around 61 at the shore. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........91-96 percent inland to 85 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........32-37 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ013-180845- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 74 inland to around 64 at the shore. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Min humidity........40-45 percent inland to 50 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy dense fog late. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 77 inland to around 65 at the shore. Min humidity........39-44 percent inland to 50 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........11. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ014-095-180845- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....69-74 inland to around 63 at the shore. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-46 percent inland to 52 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 74 inland to around 64 at the shore. Min humidity........40-45 percent inland to 52 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ096-097-180845- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers early. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....65-70. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog by midnight. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph shifting to the east late. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....70-75 inland to around 66 at the shore. Min humidity........49-54 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ088-180845- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A slight chance of thunderstorms early. A slight chance of rain showers through early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....65-70. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 4 to 9 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog by midnight. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less shifting to the east 4 to 9 mph late. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....67-72 inland to around 66 at the shore. Min humidity........55-60 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ086-087-180845- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 445 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers through early afternoon. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70 inland to around 61 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........44-49 percent inland to 53 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog late. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....73-78 inland to around 71 at the shore. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 76 to 81 inland to around 65 at the shore. West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming onshore near the Great Lakes in the afternoon. .MONDAY...Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows around 51. Highs 72 to 77 inland to around 63 at the shore. Southeast winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 69 to 74 inland to around 58 at the shore. Northeast winds 3 to 8 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 63 to 68 inland to around 56 at the shore. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Lows 39 to 44. Highs 58 to 63 inland to around 52 at the shore. .Outlook for Fri May 24 through Thu May 30...expect near normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 5200 / W 6 / 312 (G) 200301 / KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 6700 / W 11 / 737 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 7000 / W 11 / 770 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 2400 / SW 5 / 120 (P) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4700 / SW 6 / 282 (F) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 4700 / W 6 / 282 (F) 200703 / GWINN/ 4 LOW / 5000 / W 9 / 450 (G) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / W 8 / 424 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 5400 / W 11 / 594 (G) 201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 3800 / SW 10 / 380 (G) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 6600 / W 8 / 528 (G) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 3700 / SW 9 / 333 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 2 VERY LOW / 4100 / SW 12 / 492 (G) 201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / SW 6 / 288 (F) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 4700 / SW 6 / 282 (F) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 4000 / W 6 / 240 (F) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 7100 / SW 13 / 923 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 7400 / W 10 / 740 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 2 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 9 / 279 (F) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2200 / W 13 / 286 (F) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sat... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 5800 / S 17 / 986 (E) 200301 / KENTON/ 6 HIGH / 4700 / S 27 / 1269 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 6 HIGH / 6900 / S 26 / 1794 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 3900 / S 21 / 819 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW / 3800 / S 20 / 760 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW / 3200 / S 18 / 576 (G) 200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 5300 / S 25 / 1325 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 4600 / S 21 / 966 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 5200 / S 26 / 1352 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 3800 / S 13 / 494 (G) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 7000 / S 21 / 1470 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 2800 / S 13 / 364 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 3100 / S 12 / 372 (G) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 3500 / S 17 / 595 (G) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 3800 / S 16 / 608 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 1800 / S 18 / 324 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 6 HIGH / 4100 / S 32 / 1312 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 5700 / S 26 / 1482 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 1800 / S 11 / 198 (F) / KEW/ 5 MODERATE / 1800 / S 25 / 450 (G) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 73/ 42/ 4/ 8/ SW/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 72/ 39/ 3/ 6/ SW/0.00 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 73/ 39/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 201004 / MUNISING/ 63/ 54/ 2/ 5/ W/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 70/ 42/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 71/ 41/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 71/ 40/ 3/ 8/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 73/ 40/ 3/ 8/ S/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 71/ 43/ 3/ 8/ W/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 67/ 51/ 2/ 8/ N/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 73/ 37/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 68/ 48/ 4/ 8/ SW/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 69/ 50/ 2/ 8/ SW/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 70/ 42/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 70/ 42/ 3/ 8/ W/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 70/ 46/ 4/ 8/ S/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 71/ 41/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 72/ 39/ 4/ 8/ SW/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 67/ 55/ 3/ 5/ SW/0.00 / KEW/ 64/ 52/ 4/ 10/ W/0.00 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 69/ 47/ 3/ 8/ SW/0.00 $$ Voss