Watches, Warnings & Advisories



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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
601 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-081015-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
601 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible today and
tonight. The primary hazards will be gusty winds, cloud to surface
lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall. The Weather
Prediction Center placed South Florida and the Keys in a Slight
Risk (15-40% chance) for Excessive Rainfall today and tonight.

There is a slight chance for strong to severe thunderstorms
today and tonight due to adequate deep layer shear and
instability. These storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for all Florida Keys and
surrounding waters and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the
deep Gulf zones, including the Dry Tortugas. Hurricane Milton is
expected to emerge out of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico,
accelerating eastward then northeastward across the Gulf of
Mexico over the next few days, making landfall on the Florida
Peninsula Wednesday evening. However, there remains uncertainty
regarding Milton`s track, timing, size, and intensity as it passes
by to our north. Regardless, the Keys will feel some impacts from
Milton`s passage. Expect winds to ramp up considerably late
Tuesday, peaking early Wednesday. The Weather Prediction Center
placed South Florida and the Keys in a Slight Risk (15-40% chance)
for Excessive Rainfall through early Wednesday. Rainfall totals
for will range between 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inches.
Milton is expected to be a sizable storm by the time it nears the
Florida Peninsula. Early estimates of 1 to 3 feet of coastal
flooding is forecast for our our gulf and bay side coasts,
exacerbating the already high seasonal tides. As a result, a
Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect. In addition, due to being
within Milton`s right front quadrant, there will be a slight
chance for strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday through early
Wednesday due to adequate deep layer shear and instability. These
storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts and potentially a
few tornados.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

11




Marine Weather Statement

Marine Weather Statement
National Weather Service Key West FL
321 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-072130-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood
Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and
beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to
the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas
out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas
20 to 60 NM out-
321 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...HEAVY SQUALLS MOVING ACROSS WATERS SURROUNDING THE FLORIDA KEYS...

Heavy squalls continue to move east at near 20 knots across the
nearshore and offshore waters of the Florida Keys. The strongest
cells are capable of gusts 30 knots or greater, blinding downpours,
and occasional cloud to surface lightning strikes.

HAZARD...Wind gusts 30 knots or greater.

SOURCE...National Weather Service Meteorologist.

IMPACT...Expect wind gusts in excess of 30 knots, suddenly higher
waves, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Boaters should seek safe harbor now, and remain there until
threatening weather has passed.

Prepare for thunderstorms with wind gusts near 30 knots, locally
rough and confused seas, occasional lightning strikes, and
potentially blinding downpours. Get to a safe port as quickly, and as
safely as possible. When downpours reduce visibility, slow down.

Prepare for rainfall rates up to 0.5 to 1 inches per hour. Make sure
bilge passages and scuppers are clean of any debris or obstruction.

$$

AJP




Tropical Storm Watch

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Key West FL
1110 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

GMZ031-032-035-042>044-052>055-072>075-072315-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
1110 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Southeast to southwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up
  to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft in the Straits of Florida and Hawk
  Channel.

* WHERE...Straits of Florida, Hawk Channel, Florida Bay and the
  nearshore Gulf waters.

* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from Tuesday
  evening until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...A Tropical Storm Watch is issued when sustained
  winds of 34 to 63 knots associated with a tropical storm are
  possible within 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

CLR