4 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles ESE Windermere FL
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 317 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-260000- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 317 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... Scattered lightning storms will move toward the northwest at 20 to 25 mph and bring heavy rain, gusty winds and cloud to ground lightning. There is a chance for cells to train over the same areas or for some areas to receive repeated rounds of rain. This may result in localized flooding where recent heavy rains have occurred. Hurricane Helene will lift north over the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next 36 hours while strengthening. For more details on threats and impacts to east central Florida, please refer to the Hurricane Threats and Impacts webpage at www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mlb#hti .RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT... There is a High Risk of rip currents today, with rough surf and a longshore current. A High Surf Advisory will go into effect this evening. Entering the water is strongly discouraged. .WIND AND SEA IMPACT... Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for all local Atlantic waters. Boating conditions will deteriorate into tonight. Small craft should remain in port. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... The Saint Johns River near Astor has fallen into Minor Flood Stage, just below 3.0 feet. However, river levels are forecast to rise back into Moderate Flood Stage into late week due to additional rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Helene. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Impacts due to Hurricane Helene will persist through Thursday night. Hot temperatures late this week are forecast to produce peak heat indices of 104 to 108 on Friday and Saturday. High coverage of showers and lightning storms forecast into this weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed this afternoon and tonight. $$ Leahy
Tropical Storm Warning
Helene Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
503 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
FLZ045-260400-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Orange-
503 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 55 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be
completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
localized flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter
currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become swollen and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
damage paths.
- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are
urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather
arrives.
- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
$$
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
140 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-
547-647-747-271200-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FA.A.0002.240925T1740Z-240927T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-
Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint
Lucie-Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-Mainland
Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
Including the cities of Apopka, Melbourne Beach, Rockledge,
Orlando, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Clermont, Groveland,
Fort Pierce, Fort Drum, Okeechobee, Sanford, Fellsmere, Port
Saint John, Viera West, Maitland, Port Saint Lucie, Mount Dora,
Eustis, Sebastian, Melbourne, Satellite Beach, Cocoa, Daytona
Beach, Winter Park, Basinger, Oviedo, Debary, Jensen Beach, Mims,
Tradition, Tavares, Leesburg, Kissimmee, Titusville, Deland,
Celebration, Playalinda Beach, New Smyrna Beach, Canaveral
Groves, Mascotte, Cocoa Beach, Palm Bay west of I 95, Merritt
Island Wildlife Refuge, Hobe Sound, Deltona, Winter Springs,
Saint Cloud, Vero Beach, Indiantown, Union Park, Ormond Beach,
Saint Lucie West, and Stuart
140 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...East central Florida, including the following areas,
Indian River, Martin, Saint Lucie, Volusia, Brevard, Lake,
Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, and Seminole Counties.
* WHEN...Through Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...Excessive rainfall from Hurricane Helene may result in
flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and
flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and
urban areas.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Hurricane Helene will bring repeated rounds of heavy rainfall
to east central Florida through Thursday night, leading to
the potential for urban, rural and low-land flooding.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.
&&
$$
Leahy
Hurricane Local Statement
Hurricane Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 9
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-260000-
Hurricane Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
1115 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
This product covers East Central Florida
**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY**
**PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED TODAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Inland
Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland
Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola,
Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Lake
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 570 miles southwest of Orlando FL
- 21.6N 86.3W
- Storm Intensity 80 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 10 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Helene is located around 45 miles northeast of Cancun late
this morning and is forecast to move northward into the Gulf of
Mexico later today. Helene is expected to continue to strengthen
into a Major Hurricane while moving north-northeastward across the
eastern Gulf of Mexico through Thursday. The storm is forecast to
make landfall near Florida`s eastern Panhandle or Big Bend on
Thursday evening.
Tropical storm force winds are expected to encompass a large area to
the east of Helene`s center. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in
effect for all of east central Florida, as well as the adjacent
Atlantic waters. Frequent tropical storm force gusts will be
possible across the area Thursday into Thursday evening. The
potential for gusts up to 60 mph will exist, particularly northwest
of I-4, along the east central Florida coast, near the intracoastal
waterways, and in vicinity of Lake Okeechobee.
In addition to strong wind gusts, a few to several tornadoes embedded
in rain bands are possible late tonight through Thursday.
Outer rain bands are forecast to develop and move northward today
with increasing frequency, especially as the system makes its
closest approach from tonight into Thursday. Locally higher rainfall
totals will result from rain bands repeatedly moving over the same
locations. Generally, 1 to 3 inches of total rainfall are forecast
area-wide, with locally higher amounts of up to 6 inches possible
through Thursday. These rainfall amounts will be capable of
producing flooding in low-lying and urban areas, especially in areas
which have already received heavy rainfall this month.
Along the coast, increasing, battering surf from late tonight
through Thursday night will cause dangerous beach conditions. Run-up
to the dune line and sea walls will result in beach erosion. Impacts
will be greatest during the Thursday afternoon high tide, occurring
between 3 PM and 5 PM. Marine conditions will become dangerous
and small craft operators should remain in port.
Do not let your guard down. This will be a very large storm and
impacts will be experienced far from the center of the storm.
Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway and be
completed by this afternoon. Make sure you have a hurricane kit and
plan in place. Any eastward shifts in the forecast track would
increase the potential for additional impacts locally, so continue
to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center
and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across much of East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across inland portions of east central Florida.
Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of east central Florida.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts mainly across Volusia County. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio, or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$