3 products issued by NWS for: 3 Miles NW Orlando FL
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 618 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-251000- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 618 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida. .DAY ONE...Tonight. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... Isolated thunderstorms are possible tonight over the Atlantic waters pushing onshore coastal sections south of the Cape. .RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT... There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents at area beaches. Always swim near a lifeguard and never swim alone. .WIND AND SEA IMPACT... East to southeast winds will increase 15 to 20 knots tonight, with sea building to 6 feet across the coastal waters of Brevard County and the Treasure Coast. Small craft should exercise caution if venturing into these waters. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... The Saint Johns River near Astor remains in Moderate Flood Stage today but will continue a slow decline and is forecast to fall into Minor Flood Stage late this weekend. However, heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Helene later this week may halt the river`s decline and promote additional rises. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Tropical Storm Helene is forecast to continue to strengthen as it lifts northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday and Thursday, and is currently forecast to make landfall as a Major Hurricane near the Florida Big Bend region late Thursday or Thursday evening. Helene is forecast to become a large and powerful hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and impacts will occur well away from the center, especially on the eastern side of this system. Greatest impacts from Helene will occur across the area from Wednesday night into Thursday and continuing through Thursday evening. Strong winds, with occasional to frequent gusts to tropical storm force will occur will this system, especially into Thursday and Thursday evening. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Lake, Seminole, Orange, and Osceola counties. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect across Volusia, Brevard, Okeechobee, Indian River, St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as over the adjacent Atlantic waters of east central Florida. Additional impacts from Helene will be periods of heavy rainfall, isolated tornadoes and dangerous boating and surf conditions. Visitors and residents across east central Florida should keep a close eye on the forecast, and be alert for additional expansion of tropical storm warnings regarding this system. Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway, as conditions will worsen into Wednesday night and Thursday. Make sure you have a hurricane kit and plan in place. Please refer to the Hurricane Local Statement issued by NWS Melbourne for more details on the impacts expected across east central Florida from Helene. Hot temperatures late this week are forecast to produce peak heat indices of 104 to 108 on Friday and 100 to 105 Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed tonight. $$ Weitlich
Hurricane Local Statement
Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 6
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-250400-
Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
528 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
This product covers East Central Florida
**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED, TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXPANDED TO
INCLUDE THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Northern Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and
Southern Lake
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Indian
River, Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia,
Inland Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard,
Inland Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia,
Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern
Brevard Barrier Islands, Okeechobee, and Southern Brevard
Barrier Islands
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Northern Lake,
Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and Southern Lake
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Inland
Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland
Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
Barrier Islands, Okeechobee, and Southern Brevard Barrier
Islands
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 650 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL
- 19.7N 84.7W
- Storm Intensity 50 mph
- Movement West-northwest or 300 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Helene is organizing over the northwest Caribbean Sea
this afternoon and is forecast to move northwest toward the Yucatan
Channel through tonight. The system is expected to strengthen to a
hurricane early Wednesday and emerge into the southeast Gulf of Mexico
through Wednesday afternoon.
Tropical moisture will quickly increase beginning Wednesday across
east central Florida. Developing outer rain bands are forecast to move
northward on Wednesday. Multiple rounds of rainfall are expected,
especially as the system makes its closest approach from Wednesday
night into Thursday. Locally higher rainfall totals will result from
rain bands repeatedly moving over the same locations.
Generally, 1 to 4 inches of total rainfall are forecast areawide with
locally higher amounts of up to 6 inches possible. These rainfall
amounts, along with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be
capable of producing flooding in low-lying and urban areas, especially
in areas which have received a lot of rainfall in the last 60 days.
Ponding of water on roadways may also lead to hazardous driving
conditions. Any future adjustments in the track of this system may
result in changes to the current rainfall forecast.
Continued strengthening is forecast as the storm moves northward
toward a landfall near Florida`s Big Bend sometime late Thursday. It is
forecast become a major hurricane prior to landfall, and the area of
tropical storm force winds is expected to encompass a large area,
especially to the east of the storm`s center. The potential for wind
gusts up to 60 mph exists, especially in closer proximity to the center
of the storm on Thursday. Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect
for Orange, Seminole, Osceola, and Lake Counties for the potential of
frequent tropical storm force gusts beginning on Thursday. This
Tropical Storm Warning includes the Greater Orlando area. Tropical
Storm Watches have been issued for Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St.
Lucie, Martin, and Okeechobee counties, including the adjacent Atlantic
waters. Tropical storm force gusts will be possible, particularly
along the coast, near the intracoastal waterways, and in vicinity of
Lake Okeechobee.
In addition to strong wind gusts, a few tornadoes embedded in rain
bands are possible, Wednesday night through Thursday, as the system
quickly moves northward.
Along the coast, battering surf from Wednesday night into Thursday
night will cause dangerous beach conditions. Run-up to the dune line or
sea walls will result in beach erosion. Impacts will be greatest
during times of high tide, occurring between 2 PM and 6 PM Wednesday
and Thursday.
Do not let your guard down. This will be a very large storm, and
impacts will be experienced far from the center of the storm. Now is
the time to ensure your hurricane supply kit is stocked and your
safety plan is in place.
As Tropical Storm Helene becomes better organized through Wednesday,
additional changes to the forecast are possible. Eastward shifts in
the forecast track would increase the potential for additional impacts
locally, so continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National
Hurricane Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across inland portions of east central Florida.
Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of east central Florida.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 AM EDT Wednesday, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
Law
Tropical Storm Warning
Helene Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
506 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
FLZ045-250430-
/O.NEW.KMLB.TR.W.1009.240924T2106Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Orange-
506 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain
possible
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 1-3 inches, with locally higher
amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with
swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
$$