3 products issued by NWS for: 7 Miles ENE Saint Cloud FL
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1130 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-251100- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 1130 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida. .DAY ONE...Tonight. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... Isolated thunderstorms are possible tonight over the Atlantic waters pushing onshore coastal sections south of the Cape. .RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT... There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents at area beaches tonight. .WIND AND SEA IMPACT... East to southeast winds will increase to 15 to 20 knots tonight, with sea building to 6 feet across the coastal waters of Brevard County and the Treasure Coast. Small craft should exercise caution if venturing into these waters. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... The Saint Johns River near Astor continues to fall into Minor Flood Stage, below 3.0 feet this evening. However, river levels are forecast to rise back into Moderate Flood Stage into late week, due to additional rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Helene. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Tropical Storm Helene is forecast to continue to strengthen as it lifts northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday and Thursday, and is currently forecast to make landfall as a Major Hurricane near the Florida Big Bend region Thursday evening. Helene is forecast to become a large and powerful hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and impacts will occur well away from the center, especially on the eastern side of this system. Greatest impacts from Helene will occur across the area from Wednesday night into Thursday and continuing through Thursday evening. Strong winds, with frequent gusts to tropical storm force will occur will this system, especially into Thursday and Thursday evening. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect across all of east central Florida. Additional impacts from Helene will be periods of heavy rainfall, isolated tornadoes and dangerous boating and surf conditions. Visitors and residents across east central Florida should keep a close eye on the forecast, and be alert for additional expansion of tropical storm warnings regarding this system. Efforts to protect life and property should now be underway, as conditions will worsen into Wednesday night and Thursday. Make sure you have a hurricane kit and plan in place. Please refer to the Hurricane Local Statement issued by NWS Melbourne for more details on the impacts expected across east central Florida from Helene. Hot temperatures late this week are forecast to produce peak heat indices of 104 to 108 on Friday and 100 to 105 Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed tonight. $$ Weitlich
Hurricane Local Statement
Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 8
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-251730-
Tropical Storm Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
518 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
This product covers East Central Florida
**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY**
**PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED TODAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Inland
Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland
Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola,
Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Lake
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 620 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL
- 20.7N 86.2W
- Storm Intensity 65 mph
- Movement Northwest or 325 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Helene is located just east of Cozumel this morning
and is forecast to move northward into the Gulf Of Mexico by this
evening. The storm is organizing and is expected to become a hurricane
today. Helene is expected to continue north-northeastward, with
increasing forward speed, across the eastern Gulf Of Mexico through
Thursday.
Tropical moisture quickly returns to east central Florida today.
Developing outer rain bands are forecast to develop and move
northwestward. Multiple rounds of rainfall are expected, especially as
the system makes its closest approach from tonight into Thursday.
Locally higher rainfall totals will result from rain bands repeatedly
moving over the same locations.
Generally, 1 to 3 inches of total rainfall are forecast areawide with
locally higher amounts of up to 6 inches possible. These rainfall
amounts, along with instances of higher rainfall rates, will be
capable of producing flooding in low-lying and urban areas, especially
in areas which have already received heavy rainfall this month.
Ponding of water on roadways may also lead to hazardous driving
conditions. Any future adjustments in the track of this system may
result in changes to the current rainfall forecast.
Helene is forecast to quickly intensify into a major hurricane prior
to landfall near Florida`s eastern Panhandle or Big Bend on Thursday
evening. The area of tropical storm force winds is expected to
encompass a large area to the east of its center. Tropical Storm
Warnings remain in effect for all of east central Florida as well as
the adjacent Atlantic waters. Frequent tropical storm force gusts will
be possible across the area during Thursday into Thursday evening as
Helene makes its closest approach to the area. The potential for gusts
up to 60 mph will exist, particularly northwest of I-4, along the east
central Florida coast, near the intracoastal waterways, and in
vicinity of Lake Okeechobee.
In addition to strong wind gusts, there is a potential for several
tornadoes embedded in rain bands late tonight through Thursday.
From late tonight through Thursday night, battering surf, numerous
life-threatening rip currents, and a longshore current will cause
dangerous beach conditions. Run-up to the dune line and sea walls will
result in minor to moderate beach erosion. Impacts will be greatest
during the Thursday afternoon high tide, occurring between 3 PM and 5
PM. Marine conditions will become dangerous, and small craft operators
should remain in port.
Do not let your guard down. This will be a very large storm, and
impacts will be experienced far from the center of the storm. Efforts
to protect life and property should now be underway and be completed
by this afternoon. Make sure you have a hurricane kit and plan in
place.
As Tropical Storm Helene becomes better organized today, additional
changes to the forecast are possible. Any eastward shifts in the
forecast track would increase the potential for additional impacts
locally, so continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National
Hurricane Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across much of East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across inland portions of east central Florida.
Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of east central Florida.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts mainly across Volusia County. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
Tropical Storm Warning
Helene Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Melbourne FL AL092024
504 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
FLZ053-251715-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Osceola-
504 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
localized flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter
currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become swollen and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
damage paths.
- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats
should prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous
weather arrives.
- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
$$