Watches, Warnings & Advisories



3 products issued by NWS for: Coconut Creek FL

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
520 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
242130-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
520 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Minor Coastal Flooding Possible During High Tide...
...Moderate Risk Of Rip Currents for the Atlantic Coast Beaches...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms are possible through the
evening hours. The strongest thunderstorms could contain heavy
downpours, lightning strikes, and gusty winds.

Rip Currents: There is a moderate risk for rip currents along the
Atlantic Coast beaches.

Coastal Flooding: Minor coastal flooding associated with enhanced
astronomical tides (king tides) will continue to be possible during
high tide.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will continue to push through the
Northwestern Carribean Sea and through the eastern Gulf of Mexico
through the middle and latter portion of the week. For more details
please refer to the Hurricane Threats and Impacts webpage at
www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl#hti

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail, and
flooding to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

$$




Hurricane Local Statement

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Local Statement Advisory Number 3
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-241100-

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL092024
1057 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

This product covers South Florida

 **Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watches for Southwest Florida**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Collier County and Mainland Monroe

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Collier County and Mainland Monroe

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 530 miles south-southwest of Miami FL or about 530 miles
      south of Naples FL
    - 18.4N 82.4W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is forecast to develop in the
northwestern Caribbean Sea south of Cuba and strengthen as it moves
into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

The following are the primary hazards of concern with Potential
Tropical Cyclone Nine:

* Coastal Flooding/Surge - Higher than usual tides due to the
combination of surge from Nine and the recent full moon could lead to
coastal flooding of 2 to 4 ft later this week over portions of Coastal
Collier and Monroe Counties, with the highest water levels expected on Thursday.
Other vulnerable coastal areas of southern Florida could also experience minor
coastal flooding, especially around the times of high tide.

* Rainfall - The majority of the rainfall associated with the system
is forecast to fall Wednesday through Friday. Rainfall will range
between 2 to 5 inches across most of the area. Locally higher amounts
of 5+ inches are certainly possible and will depend on how this system
tracks and evolves through the week. A Flood Watch may become
necessary for portions of southern Florida.

* Wind - The highest probabilities for sustained tropical storm force
winds will be along the Gulf coast of Southwest Florida, including
Collier and mainland Monroe Counties, and adjacent Gulf waters. All of
South Florida could see strong winds gusts with squalls Wednesday
through Friday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal Southwest Florida. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Southwest Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may quickly become swollen with swift
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Southeast Florida.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$




Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook
FLC011-021-043-051-086-087-099-241200-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
246 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Heavy Rainfall Possible from Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine
This Week...

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Potential Tropical
Cyclone Nine to move northward from the Caribbean Sea into the
eastern Gulf of Mexico during the middle to latter half of this
week. This will bring deep tropical moisture across South Florida
with PWAT values reaching the 2.3 to 2.5 inch range. The
aforementioned PWAT values will be near the maximum
climatological values for this time of year supporting the
potential of heavy rainfall, especially across urban areas.
Potential rainfall amounts between Tuesday night through Saturday
morning looks to be between 2 to 4 inches over inland areas with 3
to 5 inches over the metro areas of South Florida with locally
higher amounts possible where a duration of heavy rain continues
for a prolonged duration.

There is still some uncertainty regarding the forecast over the
next couple of days. Users are reminded that shifts in track of
the system may vary potential rainfall totals as uncertainty
still remains. A Flood Watch may be issued if confidence and
potential rainfall amounts increase. Interests in South Florida
should stay tuned to the latest forecasts from NWS Miami and the
National Hurricane Center.

$$

Baxter