One product issued by NWS for: Lebanon KS
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Hastings NE 433 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 180945- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 433 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. - Starting with thunderstorm potential: This morning, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible almost anywhere in the area, but primarily favoring counties along and west of Highway 281. Severe weather is unlikely, but a few storms could promote localized wind gusts up to around 50 MPH. Later this afternoon into this evening, primarily between 5 PM and midnight, we have a lower-confidence thunderstorm situation. On one hand, it is possible that essentially our entire area could remain storm-free due to warm air aloft acting as a cap. However, given plentiful heat and humidity, it is also possible that storms could manage to develop into mainly western and northern parts of the area, primarily west of a line from Alma, to Kearney, to Fullerton Nebraska. Should this occur, storms could become severe, capable of producing hail to around golf ball size, wind gusts around 60 MPH and maybe even a brief tornado. - Turning to heat concerns: It will be another hot afternoon across most of the area, although heat index readings in most places should fall at least slightly short of 100 degrees. The main exception will be within north central Kansas, where heat index is most favored to reach 100 or very slightly higher. - Finishing up with non-thunderstorm wind concerns: This afternoon into tonight will be unusually windy for this time of year, with sustained speeds commonly 25 to 35 MPH, and gusting up to around 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. - Tuesday through Tuesday night: A cold front will enter and stall out within the region, promoting much better chances for more widespread thunderstorm activity. Although there is some uncertainty regarding the exact location of development, a narrow zone near the front could see the potential for severe storms capable of producing hail to at least quarter size and wind gusts to around 60 MPH, mainly between 4 PM and midnight. With time Tuesday night, storms will decrease in intensity, but will also expand in coverage across more of the area, with localized swaths of heavy rain and possible flooding becoming more of a concern. Although not all locations will receive truly heavy rain, the potential exists for some places to receive at least 2 to 4 inches of rain in a short time. - Wednesday through Sunday: Although day-to-day details are plenty uncertain, nearly every day and night currently carries at least small chances for thunderstorms for at least portions of the area...some of which could occasionally be severe, and also produce heavy rain and localized flooding. The overall-highest chances for the most widespread storm activity and possible flooding issues within the area as a whole favors Wednesday into Wednesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Should any severe thunderstorms manage to develop late this afternoon into this evening, spotters are encouraged to report any possible hail and/or wind gusts around 55 MPH or higher...along with any possible damage. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$ Pfannkuch