Watches, Warnings & Advisories



5 products issued by NWS for: 3 Miles NNE Balsam Mountain NC

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
610 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-056-058-059-062>065-068-
069-501>510-SCZ008-010>013-019-101>109-262215-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Madison-Yancey-
Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-Anderson-
Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-Southern Greenville-
Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg-
610 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

A tropical system is expected to strengthen over the Gulf of Mexico
on Thursday as it tracks northward. This system will impact the
western Carolinas and northeast Georgia Thursday and Friday,
bringing gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and flooding to the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

$$



Hurricane Local Statement

Hurricane Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 11
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ008>014-019-101>109-261115-

Hurricane Helene Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC  AL092024
1109 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

This product covers the western Carolinas and NE Georgia

**HELENE TO BRING SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND STRONG WIND GUSTS TO
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Abbeville, Anderson,
      Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, Catawba,
      Central Greenville, Cherokee, Chester, Cleveland, Eastern
      McDowell, Eastern Polk, Elbert, Franklin, Gaston, Graham,
      Greater Burke, Greater Caldwell, Greater Oconee, Greater
      Pickens, Greater Rutherford, Greenville Mountains, Greenwood,
      Habersham, Hart, Haywood, Henderson, Laurens, Lincoln, Macon,
      Madison, McDowell Mountains, Mecklenburg, Mitchell, Northern
      Jackson, Northern Spartanburg, Oconee Mountains, Pickens
      Mountains, Polk Mountains, Rabun, Rutherford Mountains,
      Southern Greenville, Southern Jackson, Southern Spartanburg,
      Stephens, Swain, Transylvania, Union NC, Union SC, Yancey, and
      York

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 860 miles south-southwest of Greenville/Spartanburg SC or
      about 900 miles south-southwest of Asheville NC
    - 23.1N 86.6W
    - Storm Intensity 85 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Helene is expected to make landfall over the Florida
Panhandle Thursday evening and race north across Georgia. Significant
flash flooding and mainstem river flooding is expected Thursday into
early Friday, especially along the Blue Ridge Escarpment. Wind gusts
of 40 to 50 mph will be associated with Helene as the storm tracks
just west of the County Warning Area Thursday night into Friday
morning. The combination of saturated soils and strong wind gusts will
result in widespread trees down, leading to numerous power outages.
Numerous landslides may occur across the mountains, with a couple of
large, damaging debris flows or slope failures. Isolated tornadoes
will be possible during this event as well.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across the North Carolina mountains, northeast
Georgia, and Upstate South Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, arroyos, and ditches may become raging rivers. In
      mountain areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
most of the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia. Potential
impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the western Carolinas and NE Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Greenville-Spartanburg SC around 5 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$




Tropical Storm Warning

Helene Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC  AL092024
1059 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

NCZ052-261100-
/O.CON.KGSP.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Haywood-
1059 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Waynesville

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
          becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 6-10 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for extreme
      flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          extreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
          are likely.
        - PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extreme
          and widespread rainfall flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their
          banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,
          creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become raging
          rivers. In mountain areas, deadly runoff may rage down
          valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and
          mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become
          stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
          raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
          become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures
          with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
          few tornadoes.
        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
          hazardous weather arrives.
        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
          quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - https://readync.org

$$



Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
714 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ101>103-
261200-
/O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0008.000000T0000Z-240927T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford
Mountains-Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-
Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Pine Mountain, Cullowhee, Etowah, Faust,
Kyle, Ashford, Fletcher, Hot Springs, Poplar, Waynesville,
Saluda, Patterson, Mountain City, Chimney Rock State Park, Bryson
City, Micaville, Banner Elk, Cove Creek, Rainbow Springs, Spruce
Pine, Ingalls, Franklin, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Clayton,
Ramseytown, Old Fort, Highlands, Tuckasegee, Mountain Rest,
Allenstand, Robbinsville, Marshall, Stecoah, Little River,
Canton, Celo, Jonas Ridge, East Flat Rock, Luada, Dana, Cruso,
Walnut, Newland, Luck, Tuxedo, Wolf Mountain, Black Mountain,
Wesser, Asheville, Swiss, Hendersonville, Woodlawn, Mars Hill,
Sylva, Sugar Hill, Rocky Bottom, Candler, Burnsville, Glassy
Mountain, Waterville, Alarka, Cashiers, Busick, and Almond
714 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, including the following
  area, Rabun, western North Carolina, including the following
  areas, Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains,
  Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, McDowell Mountains,
  Mitchell, Northern Jackson, Polk Mountains, Rutherford Mountains,
  Southern Jackson, Swain, Transylvania and Yancey, and upstate
  South Carolina, including the following areas, Greenville
  Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens Mountains.

* WHEN...Through Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in significant and damaging
  flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and
  flood-prone locations. Areas that are not typically impacted by
  floodwaters may flood. Numerous landslides are possible in areas
  of steep terrain. A couple of large, damaging debris flows are
  possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are expected due to the
    interaction of tropical moisture along a stationary front,
    followed by the passage of Tropical Storm Helene. Storm-total
    rainfall of 10-15 inches with locally higher amounts is
    expected along the entire length of the Blue Ridge Escarpment
    with widespread 5-9 inches expected across the remainder of
    the mountains. This has the potential to be an extremely rare
    event with dangerous catastrophic flash-flooding along
    numerous streams.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch for flash flooding means there is a potential for
rapid onset flooding based on current forecasts. Flash flooding is a
very dangerous situation and may impact areas that do not typically
flood. Please monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take
action quickly should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Rainfall of more than five inches in similar storms has been
associated with an increased risk of landslides and rockslides. If
you live on a mountainside or in a cove at the base of a mountain,
especially near a stream, be ready to leave in advance of the storm
or as quickly as possible should rising water, moving earth, or
rocks threaten. Consider postponing travel along mountain roads
during periods of heavy rainfall.

Low-lying areas adjacent to streams, including campgrounds, are
especially vulnerable to flooding. If you live or are vacationing
next to a stream, please have a plan in place to seek higher ground
once heavy rainfall develops. Flash floods can occur quickly and
overwhelm adjacent low-lying areas with little warning. Once the
stream starts to rise, you may only have minutes to evacuate. Flash
floods can cause catastrophic damage and be powerful enough to sweep
away campers, vehicles, and mobile homes. Consider temporarily
relocating away from streams until the heavy rainfall threat passes.

&&

$$



Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
451 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg SC has
issued a Flood Warning for the Pigeon River in North Carolina...

  At Canton affecting Haywood County.

.Two unique rounds of rainfall, one beginning tonight and lasting
through early Thursday afternoon resulting from tropical moisture
interacting with a stationary front, and another beginning Thursday
night and lasting through Friday morning associated with Hurricane
Helene, are expected to result in significant rises within the
Pigeon River watershed.  Minor to Moderate flooding along the east
and west forks of the Pigeon River is likely, resulting in Minor
flooding along the Pigeon River near Canton.

The Pigeon River is a very flashy watershed and is very sensitive to
variations in heavy rainfall.  There is a potential for crests to
exceed the current forecast crests.  If the forecasted rainfall over
the next few days occurs very quickly or in a much shorter time
frame than currently expected, significant flooding along the Pigeon
River is possible and may approach the flooding that occurred during
Tropical Cyclone Fred in August 2021.  It is absolutely imperative
that you maintain awareness of the latest forecasts and plan NOW to
respond to the worst-case scenario for your area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you live or are vacationing along any stream in the Pigeon River
watershed, including the East and West Fork Pigeon Rivers, have a
plan in place to seek higher ground before the heavy rain begins.
Do NOT wait for a warning to take action.  Flee areas adjacent to
the stream before the stream rises significantly.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.

Even 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock you off your feet
and a depth of 2 feet will float your car. Never try to walk, swim,
or drive through such swift water. If you come upon flood waters,
stop, turn around and go another way.

This warning will be in effect until the river falls below its
Action/Advisory Stage.

For detailed information including observed and forecast stages,
flood impacts, flood history, FEMA Flood Hazard Layers, and more,
please visit: https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/GSP

The next statement will be issued beforeFriday evening at 800 PM EDT.

&&

NCC087-280000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0020.240926T1200Z-240928T0000Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.240926T2116Z.240927T0000Z.240927T0123Z.NO/
451 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pigeon River at Canton.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning to Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, The river will overflow its banks and
  start to flood low-lying areas in Clyde.

* At 12.0 feet, at this level preventative flood action may be
  required at the former paper plant. Areas on the right bank of the
  river near Canton will begin to flood. This may include
  residential yards on Fiberville Road and parts of Valley, North,
  and Conley Streets.

* At 12.5 feet, A trailer park near Old Highway 19 and 23 outside of
  Clyde may flood. Residential yards along Richland, Hyatt, and
  Allens Creeks will be in danger of flooding, due to runoff and
  back water from the Pigeon River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 1.5 feet.
  - Action/Advisory Stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above Minor Flood
    Stage tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 11.0 feet tomorrow
    evening.  It will then fall below Minor Flood Stage late
    tomorrow evening.

    NOTE: There is a potential for the crest to exceed 14.0 feet
    and approach the Moderate Flood Stage of 15.0 feet.

  - Minor Flood Stage is 10.0 feet.
    Moderate Flood Stage is 15.0 feet.
    Major Flood Stage is 19.0 feet.

  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.1 feet on 01/09/2024.  The Pigeon River crested at 19.60
    feet on August 18, 2021 during Tropical Cyclone Fred.

  - Http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3549 8292 3553 8286 3553 8290 3557 8290
      3555 8281 3549 8286


$$

JMP