One product issued by NWS for: Aurora NE
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Hastings NE 322 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 182030- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 322 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Starting with thunderstorm potential: Late this afternoon into this evening, primarily between 5 PM and midnight, we have a lower-confidence thunderstorm situation. On one hand, it is possible that essentially our entire area could remain storm-free due to warm air aloft acting as a cap. However, given plentiful heat and humidity, it is also possible that storms could manage to develop into mainly western and northern parts of the area, primarily west of a line from Beaver City, to Kearney, to Greeley Nebraska. Should this occur, storms could become severe, capable of producing hail to around golf ball size, wind gusts around 60 MPH and maybe even a brief tornado. As far as non-thunderstorm winds are concerned, this afternoon into tonight will be windy, with sustained speeds commonly 25 to 35 MPH, and gusting up to around 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. - Tuesday through Tuesday night: A cold front will enter and stall out within the region, bringing widespread thunderstorm activity to the area. There is uncertainty regarding the exact location of development, but a narrow zone near the front could see thunderstorms, some of which may be severe with hail to at least quarter size and wind gusts to around 60 MPH, mainly between 4 PM and midnight. Later Tuesday night, storms will decrease in intensity, but will also expand in coverage across more of the area, with localized swaths of heavy rain and possible flooding becoming more of a concern. Although not all locations will receive truly heavy rain, the potential exists for some places to receive at least 2 to 4 inches of rain in a short time. - Wednesday through Sunday: Although day-to-day details are uncertain, nearly every day and night currently carries at least small chances for thunderstorms for at least portions of the area...some of which could occasionally be severe, and also produce heavy rain and localized flooding. The highest chances for the most widespread storm activity and possible flooding issues favors Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Should any severe thunderstorms manage to develop late this afternoon into this evening, spotters are encouraged to report any possible hail and/or wind gusts around 55 MPH or higher...along with any possible damage. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$