3 products issued by NWS for: 5 Miles SSW Orange Grove TX
Hurricane Local Statement
Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 7
TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-191700-
Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX AL012024
346 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
This product covers South Texas
**Tropical Storm Warnings Continue**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Aransas Islands,
Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal
Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio,
Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio,
Inland San Patricio, Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 410 miles south-southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 420
miles south-southeast of Corpus Christi TX
- 22.7N 93.8W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement West-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
The area of low pressure is beginning to become better organized
and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm over the next 12-
18 hours as it slowly traverses the western Gulf. This system is
expected to continue moving westward with a most likely eventual
landfall along the Mexican coast tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings
remain in effect along all coastal counties across South Texas, the
bays and Gulf waters out to 60 nm from Baffin Bay through Port
O`Connor.
Regardless of development and eventual landfall location, there are
several hazards and impacts expected across South Texas from today
through Thursday due to the large extent and slow movement of this
system. The main threats continue to be:
- Flash Flooding: Moderate to high threat of flash flooding today
through Thursday. Rainfall accumulations of 8-10" are expected along
the Coastal Bend and southern Brush Country with localized rainfall
amounts up to 15". Across the rest of the region, the Rio Grande
Plains, northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads could have
amounts as high as 4-8" through Thursday.
- Coastal Flooding: Significant coastal flooding is ongoing with peak
inundation of 3 ft possible across the Middle Texas Coast including
the bays between Baffin Bay and Matagorda Bay. Elevated water levels
are expected to linger through Friday. In addition, there is a High
risk of rip currents.
- River Flooding: Considerable river flooding along portions of the
Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads from today through Thursday.
There is a 31% chance of Major flooding at the Aransas River at
Skidmore, 21% at Oso Creek and 25% at the Nueces River near Tilden.
The River Forecast Center has begun using forecasted rainfall amounts
to determine the potential for moderate to major river flooding.
- Winds: Sustained winds of 35 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be
possible across the Coastal Bend, while winds of up to 50 knots can be
expected over the bays and Gulf waters.
- Hazardous Seas: Wave heights 15 to 20 feet.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across South Texas. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Coastal Bend. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across South Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across South Texas. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on Texas evacuation routes, see
txdot.gov/driver/weather/hurricane.html
- For information on creating emergency kits, see texasready.gov
- For state assistance in an emergency event,
tdem.texas.gov/response/state-of-texas-emergency-assistance-registry
- For information on registering for emergency notifications in your
area visit the websites below...
- Corpus Christi and Nueces County: cctexas.com/reversealert
- San Patricio, Aransas, and Refugio County: coastalplainlepc.org
- Victoria County: vctx.org/page/oem.home
- Calhoun County: www.calhouncotx.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
JCP
Flood Watch
Flood Watch National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1129 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-191700- /O.CON.KCRP.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-240620T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-Jim Wells-Inland Kleberg-Inland Nueces-Inland San Patricio-Coastal Aransas-Inland Refugio-Inland Calhoun-Coastal Kleberg-Coastal Nueces-Coastal San Patricio-Aransas Islands-Coastal Refugio- Coastal Calhoun-Kleberg Islands-Nueces Islands-Calhoun Islands- Including the cities of Beeville, Fulton, Seadrift, Cross, Corpus Christi, Loyola Beach, Riviera, San Diego, Woodsboro, Portland, Pettus, Austwell, Bishop, Ingleside, Port Lavaca, Alice, Encinal, Orange Grove, Orvil, Port O Connor, Skidmore, Refugio, Tilden, Odem, Bruni, Premont, Rockport, Kingsville, Port Aransas, Bloomington, Flour Bluff, Loma Alta, Tuloso, Pawnee, Cotulla, Sinton, Taft, Long Mott, George West, Holiday Beach, Mathis, Calliham, Robstown, Victoria, Goliad, Freer, Benavides, Bayside, Aransas Pass, Three Rivers, Ricardo, and Laredo 1129 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of south Texas, including the following areas, Aransas Islands, Bee, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal Calhoun, Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal Refugio, Coastal San Patricio, Duval, Goliad, Inland Calhoun, Inland Kleberg, Inland Nueces, Inland Refugio, Inland San Patricio, Jim Wells, Kleberg Islands, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Nueces Islands, Victoria and Webb. * WHEN...Through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ PH
Flood Warning
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
846 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
...The National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX has issued a
Flood Warning for the following river in Texas...
Nueces River near Bluntzer affecting Nueces, Jim Wells and San
Patricio Counties.
For the Nueces River...including Cotulla, Tilden, Three Rivers,
Mathis, Bluntzer, Calallen...Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC249-355-409-191700-
/O.NEW.KCRP.FL.W.0010.240620T1005Z-240621T1046Z/
/CBVT2.1.ER.240620T1005Z.240620T1200Z.240620T1845Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Nueces River near Bluntzer.
* WHEN...From late Wednesday night to Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...at 18.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Sustained
flow at this rate floods homes downstream near Calallen.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday, the stage was 6.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late Wednesday night, crest around 18.7 feet Thursday
morning, then drop below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Nueces River
Bluntzer 18.0 6.9 Tue 8 pm 9.9 15.9 9.7 7.7 7.0
&&
LAT...LON 2799 9787 2802 9775 2797 9775 2794 9768
2787 9776 2792 9783
$$