5 products issued by NWS for:
Hurricane Warning
Isaias Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL092026
957 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
ALZ264-091100-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Baldwin Central-
957 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Daphne
- Fairhope
- Foley
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Friday
afternoon until early Saturday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-6 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Saturday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should
soon be brought to completion before conditions become
unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation in areas such as the immediate shore of
Mobile Bay, Mobile River Delta, and tributaries of Perdido
Bay. Damage to several buildings.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
become weakened or washed out, especially in usually
vulnerable low spots. The US 90 Causeway will experience
significant flooding.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher
amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
damage paths.
- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are
urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather
arrives.
- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Baldwin County EMA: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob
$$
Storm Surge Warning
STORM SURGE WARNING
NWS MOBILE AL
957 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
ALZ264-091100-
/O.CON.KMOB.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
957 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
Baldwin Central-
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Daphne
- Fairhope
- Foley
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Friday
afternoon until early Saturday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-6 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Saturday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should
soon be brought to completion before conditions become
unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation in areas such as the immediate shore of
Mobile Bay, Mobile River Delta, and tributaries of Perdido
Bay. Damage to several buildings.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
become weakened or washed out, especially in usually
vulnerable low spots. The US 90 Causeway will experience
significant flooding.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher
amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
damage paths.
- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are
urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather
arrives.
- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Baldwin County EMA: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob
LAT...LON 3060 8741 3057 8741 3055 8744 3052 8745
3053 8751 3050 8751 3045 8750 3047 8757
3049 8757 3049 8754 3058 8753 3060 8755
3062 8753 3061 8750 3056 8748 3058 8744
3063 8741 3066 8740 3063 8739 3061 8740
3060 8741
LAT...LON 3066 8790 3055 8788 3044 8789 3044 8786
3048 8783 3053 8783 3054 8779 3050 8775
3048 8778 3042 8779 3043 8773 3037 8774
3036 8768 3036 8768 3035 8780 3036 8782
3037 8782 3038 8781 3038 8779 3039 8776
3041 8777 3040 8780 3041 8781 3043 8781
3044 8780 3046 8780 3046 8781 3044 8783
3040 8785 3042 8790 3049 8791 3049 8793
3054 8790 3056 8790 3059 8792 3062 8791
3063 8792 3068 8800 3079 8799 3079 8799
3079 8787 3076 8787 3076 8783 3070 8784
3066 8790
LAT...LON 3038 8760 3036 8766 3043 8765 3043 8760
3040 8760 3040 8749 3038 8748 3038 8760
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
820 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Alabama...Florida...
Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Escambia and Baldwin
Counties.
For the Perdido River...including Barrineau Park...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC003-FLC033-091330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.261010T1516Z-261012T0730Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.261010T1516Z.261011T0000Z.261012T0130Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Perdido River near Barrineau Park.
* WHEN...From Saturday morning to late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, water begins to flood roadway east of the
bridge. At 14.0 feet, water begins to flood bridge roadway and
Florida side of bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 2.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
Saturday morning to a crest of 15.6 feet Saturday evening. It
will then fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
- Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
3052 8746 3064 8740
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
819 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following river in Alabama...
Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.
For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC003-091330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.261010T0531Z-261011T1843Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.261010T0531Z.261010T1800Z.261011T1243Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.
* WHEN...From late Friday night to Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
Upstream, wter begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
Cooper Roads.
At 16.0 feet, water begins to flood low lying areas on Donovan Circle
in the Seminole Landing community. Water begins to overflow bulkheads
on Juniper Road. Goat Cooper and Waterworld Rds are flooded with
Riverside and the Retreat RV parks flooded.
At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under low lying
houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat Cooper and
Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near the river.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 2.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Saturday morning to a crest of 17.6 feet early Saturday
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7
feet on 01/22/2010.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764
$$
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mobile AL
159 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
ALZ059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-090600-
/O.CON.KMOB.FA.A.0005.261009T1800Z-261010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa
Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-
Including the cities of Citronelle, Seminole, Fort Walton Beach,
Daphne, Andalusia, Niceville, Pensacola, Molino, Gulf Breeze, Beulah,
Foley, Atmore, Theodore, Bagdad, Jay, Crestview, Century, Eglin AFB,
Fort Pickens, Gulf Shores, Bay Minette, Navarre, Saraland, Dauphin
Island, Wright, Mobile, Pensacola Beach, Destin, Flomaton, Walnut
Hill, Fairhope, Opp, Perdido Bay, Grand Bay, Stockton, Ensley,
Brewton, Fort Morgan, Valparaiso, Prichard, Bayou La Batre, Orange
Beach, Spanish Fort, and Milton
159 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...Portions of Alabama, including the following areas, Baldwin
Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Covington, Escambia,
Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal and Mobile Inland and northwest
Florida, including the following areas, Escambia Coastal, Escambia
Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Santa Rosa Inland.
* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.Excessive
runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other
low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor
drainage and urban areas. There is the potential for considerable
and life threatening flash flooding where the highest rain totals
occur.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Hurricane Isaias will move onshore on the northern Gulf coast
Friday night, with bands of rain ahead of the storm moving
onshore Friday afternoon. From Friday through the early Saturday,
Isaias is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches
across the region. Localized totals of 10 to 15 inches are
possible, particularly within banding across the Florida
Panhandle and close to the center track of the storm. Flash and
urban flooding is likely across the region, with considerable
impacts possible across much of southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle. River flooding is also expected, some of which could
be significant.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Stay weather aware and be ready to take action if Flash Flood
Warnings are issued, particularly wireless emergency alert Flash
Flood Warnings for considerable flooding.
&&
$$