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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
953 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
953 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019



This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
 AREA... Northwest AR, East-Central and Southeast OK.
 ONSET... Ongoing.



DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms remain possible tonight across eastern and
southeastern Oklahoma as well as northwestern AR where a nonsevere
storm located in Benton county is currently moving eastward. The
best chance for thunderstorms will be in Choctaw county tonight
associated with a complex of storms moving generally ENE along and
south of the Red River. The latest radar imagery shows an uptick
in activity across southeastern OK that will be watched closely.
With that said, due to significant convective overturning from the
storms earlier, the overall severe threat is low but gusty winds
and hail remain possible.

As for east-central Oklahoma, there is a conditional probability
for strong to severe storms to form later tonight. The
ingredients for strong to severe storms will be in place including
a fast moving upper level short wave, remnant outflow boundaries, and
dew points in the lower 70s. Any storm that does form will have
the potential to be strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and
small hail being the main threats.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...High Wind Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...
Heavy Rain Potential.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thursday will be dry across the area with thunderstorm chances
returning late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Friday
will see hot and muggy conditions across eastern OK and west-
central AR with high temperatures in the lower 90s and heat index
values nearing 100 at several locations. As for this weekend and
early next week, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms
will be likely across eastern OK and west-central AR in response
to an upper level trough moving into the southern plains.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$




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