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Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1014 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>072-181715-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-
Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-
Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, and Sallisaw
1014 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

.NOW...

At 10:11 AM... National Weather Service radars continued to indicate
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms extending from southeast
Kansas into parts of northeast Oklahoma. Most of the activity was
occurring along and north of Interstate 44.

Through 12 Noon... scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue to move eastward across northeast Oklahoma from the west.
Locations along and north of Interstate 44, will be most likely to
be affected. Average hourly rainfall rates from a tenth to a quarter
of an inch, are anticipated.


$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
508 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
508 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA... Far northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Tonight, mainly after 9 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Tonight, mainly after 9 PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma into west central Arkansas.
ONSET...After 1 PM.

DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe storms are pushing through far northeast Oklahoma
early this morning. The main threat with these storms is
marginally severe hail and isolated damaging wind gusts. These
storms are expected to gradually weaken through the morning. It`s
possible that more storms will develop later this morning or
during the afternoon along the outflow boundary. Another round of
storms is likely tonight and heavy rain or flash flooding will be
possible. The airmass is very moist and there is a potential for
storms to redevelop across the same areas. The heavy rain threat
will likely hold off until after 9 PM.

Dangerous heat will again develop this afternoon, with a heat
advisory in effect this afternoon and evening. Heat index values
will range from 105 to 110 degrees for much of eastern Oklahoma
and portions of west central Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY through WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Monday and Tuesday will be hot and humid with heat advisories
needed for portions of the area both days. The chance for showers
and storms will increase by midweek as a front settles into the
region and provides a focus for rain. Below normal temperatures
are expected beginning Wednesday through the end of the week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

CORFIDI



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