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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
459 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
459 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms chances will increase today ahead of a
cold front that will move across Arkansas. Some strong and severe
storms will be possible, primarily over central and eastern
sections of the state. Damaging winds and large hail will be the
primary concerns, although isolated tornadoes cannot be rule out.
The severe weather threat will diminish later this evening as the
front moves east of Arkansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

The threat for hazardous weather will remain low through Sunday
night. However...showers and some thunderstorms will return to the
forecast Monday into Tuesday. There could be some potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms during this time frame...but
significant uncertainty exists on the overall track of this storm
system. As a result...refer to the forecasts in the coming days for
any changes to the potential for severe weather early next week. The
threat for seeing hazardous weather will then become low by the
middle of next week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and early this


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Flood Warning

748 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecasts. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecasts or Flood Warnings for use in making
informed decisions to protect life and property.


748 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 22.9 feet overnight before
* Impacts at 20.0 feet...Agricultural land is flooding along both
  banks of the river in Lawrence, Independence, and Jackson counties.
  Minor flooding in Powhatan Community and Courthouse State Park.

             Fld     Observed        Forecast 6 AM        Crest
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue  Crest Time  Date

Black River
  Black Rock  14  22.9 Sat 07 PM  22.8  22.3  21.7     Falling


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128



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