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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
429 AM MDT Wed May 18 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-191030-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
429 AM MDT Wed May 18 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms will develop over the mountains around noon
and spread into the southeast plains during the afternoon and
evening. Thunderstorms becoming more numerous as they encounter
better low level moisture across the southeast plains.  A few strong
to severe thunderstorms can be expected along and east of I-25 with
gusty outflow winds to around 60 mph and hail to around 1 inch in
diameter the most likely storm risks.  The most likely timeframe for
severe thunderstorms will be between 2 PM and 9 PM.

For the mountains, valleys and southern I-25 corridor, spotty dry
thunderstorms will be possible, which will produce gusty winds and
lightning, but little or no rainfall. Any lightning with these could
result in fire starts.

Localized near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
across the upper Arkansas River valley in Chaffee county, and across
the southern San Luis Valley this afternoon. Although winds are
expected to remain below critical thresholds, fires may still spread
rapidly given the very dry conditions.  Please use caution to avoid
fire starts today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Critical Fire Weather conditions will likely continue through next
week. Widespread fire conditions are expected Thursday across
southern Colorado and is the day of greatest concern at this time.
Beyond Thursday, the San Luis Valley will have multiple day of
possible Critical Fire Weather conditions, with more spotty
conditions over the weekend, and increasing in coverage early next
week.

Precipitation is expected to occur Friday and into Saturday
morning/early afternoon as another storm system passes over the
area. The central and eastern mountains, and along and east of the
I25 corridor will see the greatest precipitation chances. The
mountains will see all snow, but at lower elevations, will start off
as rain and transition to snow at and above 5,500ft Friday night,
with some slushy snow accumulations possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

$$

31/SIMCOE



Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
329 AM MDT Wed May 18 2022

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued from 11 AM through 9 PM
Thursday for gusty winds and low relative humidity values for
fire weather zones 220 through 230 and 233 which includes all of
the mountains, valleys, I-25 corridor counties as well as eastern
Las Animas County...

...A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for late Thursday
morning through Thursday evening for gusty winds and low relative
humidity values for fire weather zones 231, 232 and 234 through
237 which includes Crowley, Otero, Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca
Counties...

COZ220>230-233-190130-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0042.220519T1700Z-220520T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0049.220519T1700Z-220520T0300Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
329 AM MDT Wed May 18 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228...229...
230 AND 233...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Thursday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...223...
  224...225...226...227...228...229...230 and 233.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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