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2 products issued by NWS for: Tavares FL
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
805 PM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-250800-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
805 PM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated to scattered lightning storms are forecast mainly over the
Atlantic waters south of Sebastian Inlet, some of which will push
onshore the Treasure coast beginning with Martin county. A threat
for lightning storms will edge northward overnight possibly reaching
southern Brevard county. Primary threats will be occasional
lightning strikes, along with briefly gusty winds, and moderate to
heavy rainfall.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
Locally heavy rainfall will be possible along portions of the coast
south of the Cape, especially along the Treasure coast of Martin.
Saint Lucie and Indian River counties. Additional rainfall amounts
of 1 to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts may occur in bands
that develop and push onshore. This may produce localized road,
urban and poor drainage flooding. Never attempt to drive across a
water covered road, as the depth may be too great to allow your
vehicle to cross safely.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A High risk of strong, life-threatening rip currents and rough
surf will remain at area beaches through tonight.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
One or two brief strong lightning storms will be possible across
the local coastal waters and along the coast, mainly from near
Melbourne south. A small threat exists for a storm or two to
produce wind gusts to around 35 knots across the Intracoastal
Waterway and adjacent Atlantic waters.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Small Craft Advisories remain in effect over the Gulf Stream for
seas up to 7 feet. Elsewhere, small craft should exercise caution
for east to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and seas 4 to 6 feet.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in Minor
Flood Stage through early next week. Near Geneva above Lake
Harney, the Saint Johns River is forecast to remain in Action
Stage through early next week.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
Deep moisture spreading northward into early next week will allow
for scattered to numerous shower and lightning storm development
each afternoon and early evening. Any repeated rounds of storms or
persistent rain bands will lead to the potential for locally
heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches. This will continue the threat
for temporary flooding of roadways and poor drainage areas.

A Moderate risk of numerous and strong life-threatening rip
currents is expected to continue on Sunday and into early next
week at all central Florida Atlantic beaches.

Tropical Storm Ian, currently over the central Caribbean Sea,
is forecast to strengthen to a major hurricane as it turns
northwest then north into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the
next couple of days. There remains uncertainty on the exact
strength and track of this system. Residents and visitors
should closely monitor the latest forecast, review hurricane
plans and check or gather their hurricane supply kit.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.
However, spotters should report rainfall amounts of three inches
or greater, or any occurrences of road or property flooding to the
National Weather Service in Melbourne.

$$

SK



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1109 AM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  St Johns River Near Astor affecting Lake and Volusia Counties.

For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Minor flooding is
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 1115 AM EDT.

&&


FLC069-127-251515-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.220916T1807Z.220924T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...St Johns River Near Astor.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 2.8 feet, Docks and boat ramps covered at South Moon
  Fish Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair`s Jungle Den.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 2.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM EDT Saturday was 2.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 2.5 feet next
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 2.3 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am)
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

St Johns River
Astor         2.3   2.6   Sat 10 am 2.6   2.6   2.6   2.5   2.5


&&

LAT...LON 2908 8150 2932 8169 2935 8157 2910 8142


$$

Schaper



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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