Watches, Warnings & Advisories



7 products issued by NWS for: Key West FL

Coastal Flood Statement

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
138 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ076>078-080500-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.A.0003.241009T1000Z-241010T2200Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-241009T1000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
138 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will continue across the Florida
  Keys today through Tuesday night, especially around the times of
  high tide. Major saltwater flooding of 1 to 3 feet above ground
  level on the Gulf and Bayside will be possible Wednesday morning
  through Thursday afternoon as Hurricane Milton moves across the
  eastern Gulf of Mexico into the west coast of Florida. Atlantic-
  facing shorelines will be susceptible to crashing waves and
  overwash, leading to saltwater flooding in the adjacent
  neighborhoods.

* WHERE...Florida Keys.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Statement, through late Tuesday
  night. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Wednesday morning
  through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Through Tuesday night, minor saltwater flooding of low
  elevation streets and lots is likely, with little relief during
  low tide. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and
  docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less clearance
  under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent
  puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to
  contain a mix of saltwater. For Wednesday morning through
  Thursday afternoon, storm surge flooding may cause numerous
  roads to be closed. Low lying property including homes,
  businesses, and some critical infrastructure may be inundated.
  Some shoreline erosion may occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

CLR




Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
343 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLC021-087-072145-
/O.EXT.KMFL.FA.Y.0232.000000T0000Z-241007T2145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Collier FL-Mainland Monroe FL-
343 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Florida, including the following
  counties, in Florida, Mainland Monroe. In southwest Florida,
  Collier.

* WHEN...Until 545 PM EDT.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
  Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is
  imminent.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 343 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated moderate rains
    continue over the metro areas of Collier County. Minor
    flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the
    advisory area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen
    since early this morning.
  - Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are expected over
    the area during the next couple of hours with the moderate
    rains. This additional rain will result in minor flooding.
  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...
    Naples, Marco Island, Golden Gate Estates, Everglades City,
    Chokoloskee, Royal Palm Hammock, Marco Island Airport, Belle
    Meade, Lely Resort, West Toll Gate On Alligator Alley, Naples
    Manor, Cape Romano, East Naples, Golden Gate, Carnestown,
    Vineyards, Plantation Island, North Naples, Naples Park and
    Big Cypress National Preserve.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 2633 8182 2632 8182 2632 8175 2632 8174
      2632 8171 2632 8169 2632 8166 2606 8154
      2586 8121 2580 8120 2579 8134 2583 8170
      2601 8179 2633 8185


$$

BAXTER




Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Key West FL
322 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ076>078-072100-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Including the Communities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
322 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

.NOW...
Through 500 pm, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will
episodically push through the entire Florida Keys. This activity
will move generally eastward at near 25 mph. The stronger cells will
produce wind gusts near 35 mph, blinding downpours, and occasional
cloud to surface lightning strikes. Island communities may observe an
additional half an inch to an inch of rainfall, especially in the
Middle Keys.

$$

AJP




Coastal Flood Watch

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
138 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ076>078-080500-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.A.0003.241009T1000Z-241010T2200Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-241009T1000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
138 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will continue across the Florida
  Keys today through Tuesday night, especially around the times of
  high tide. Major saltwater flooding of 1 to 3 feet above ground
  level on the Gulf and Bayside will be possible Wednesday morning
  through Thursday afternoon as Hurricane Milton moves across the
  eastern Gulf of Mexico into the west coast of Florida. Atlantic-
  facing shorelines will be susceptible to crashing waves and
  overwash, leading to saltwater flooding in the adjacent
  neighborhoods.

* WHERE...Florida Keys.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Statement, through late Tuesday
  night. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Wednesday morning
  through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Through Tuesday night, minor saltwater flooding of low
  elevation streets and lots is likely, with little relief during
  low tide. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and
  docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less clearance
  under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent
  puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to
  contain a mix of saltwater. For Wednesday morning through
  Thursday afternoon, storm surge flooding may cause numerous
  roads to be closed. Low lying property including homes,
  businesses, and some critical infrastructure may be inundated.
  Some shoreline erosion may occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

CLR




Hurricane Local Statement

Hurricane Milton Local Statement Advisory Number 10
FLZ076>078-080000-

Hurricane Milton Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL142024
1150 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

This product covers the Florida Keys

**TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys,
      Monroe Middle Keys, and Monroe Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 660 miles west-southwest of Key West FL or about 710
      miles west-southwest of Marathon FL
    - 21.7N 91.7W
    - Storm Intensity 155 mph
    - Movement East-southeast or 110 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 11 AM EDT, the eye of Hurricane Milton was located in the
southern Gulf of Mexico, about 660 miles west-southwest of Key West,
with maximum sustained winds near 155 mph. Milton is moving toward the
east- southeast near 9 mph. An eastward to east- southeastward motion
is forecast through tonight, followed by a turn toward the east and
northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, Milton is
forecast to move near or just north of the Yucatan Peninsula today and
Tuesday, then cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approach the west
coast of the Florida Peninsula by Wednesday.

Thundery squalls with local wind gusts of 55 to 65 mph will be
possible throughout the Florida Keys from Tuesday evening through
Thursday morning. Additionally, there is a low potential for a few
tornadoes. There is the also the potential for sustained tropical storm
force winds from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning as Milton
makes its closest approach to the Keys, and a Tropical Storm Watch
remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys.

Storm surge saltwater flooding of 1 to 3 feet above ground level, or
mean higher high water, will be possible on the Gulf and Bay side of
the Florida Keys from Wednesday morning through Thursday.
Additionally, Atlantic facing shorelines will be susceptible to
crashing waves and overwash. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect
for all of the Florida Keys.

Additional rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated totals up
to 15 inches, are likely through Thursday morning. A significant
portion of this rainfall will occur well in advance of Milton`s closest
approach to the Keys. Flooding of low elevation streets and poor
drainage areas is likely.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water.
      Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers
      the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Refer to monroecountyem.com for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
in a low-lying or poor drainage area, plan to move to safe shelter on
higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
by Tuesday. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause
certain preparedness activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

CLR




Tropical Storm Watch

Milton Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL142024
1109 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ078-072315-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
1109 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Key West
    - Sugarloaf Key
    - Big Pine Key

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
          becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: Tuesday evening until Thursday evening

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
          especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
          become unsafe.
        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
          your area.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge
          water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge
          water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
      flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
          likely.
        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
          if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
          rescues.
        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
          moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
          become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
          weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
          few tornadoes.
        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
          hazardous weather arrives.
        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
          quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
        - http://ready.gov/
    - Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
        - http://www.weather.gov/key/

$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
601 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-081015-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
601 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible today and
tonight. The primary hazards will be gusty winds, cloud to surface
lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall. The Weather
Prediction Center placed South Florida and the Keys in a Slight
Risk (15-40% chance) for Excessive Rainfall today and tonight.

There is a slight chance for strong to severe thunderstorms
today and tonight due to adequate deep layer shear and
instability. These storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for all Florida Keys and
surrounding waters and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the
deep Gulf zones, including the Dry Tortugas. Hurricane Milton is
expected to emerge out of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico,
accelerating eastward then northeastward across the Gulf of
Mexico over the next few days, making landfall on the Florida
Peninsula Wednesday evening. However, there remains uncertainty
regarding Milton`s track, timing, size, and intensity as it passes
by to our north. Regardless, the Keys will feel some impacts from
Milton`s passage. Expect winds to ramp up considerably late
Tuesday, peaking early Wednesday. The Weather Prediction Center
placed South Florida and the Keys in a Slight Risk (15-40% chance)
for Excessive Rainfall through early Wednesday. Rainfall totals
for will range between 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inches.
Milton is expected to be a sizable storm by the time it nears the
Florida Peninsula. Early estimates of 1 to 3 feet of coastal
flooding is forecast for our our gulf and bay side coasts,
exacerbating the already high seasonal tides. As a result, a
Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect. In addition, due to being
within Milton`s right front quadrant, there will be a slight
chance for strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday through early
Wednesday due to adequate deep layer shear and instability. These
storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts and potentially a
few tornados.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

11