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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
454 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-222100-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
454 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected today.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing gusty
winds...heavy rain...and frequent deadly lightning strikes.
Localized flooding of streets and low lying flood prone areas is
possible.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Due to the heavy rain over the past several days, there
have been significant rises on rivers across west central
Florida. The Alafia river, Manatee river and Little Manatee have
risen above flood stage and any additional rain today will likely
cause the rivers to continue to rise.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected for the
next several days. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing
strong gusty winds...locally heavy rain...and frequent deadly
lightning strikes. The potential exists for localized flooding
across the area as rain chances will remain high through the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

McKaughan



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
934 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia

.Heavy rain over the past week across west central Florida has
caused several rivers to rise above flood stage.  Additional
rainfall is forecast on Tuesday.  Horse creek has begun to recede
and has dropped below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-230000-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180523T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.180521T1500Z.180522T0600Z.180522T1800Z.NO/
934 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.5 feet by after midnight
  tomorrow. The river is expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow
  early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet
  on Jul 29 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.4  Mon 09 PM  11.3    9.8    7.9    6.2    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
934 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia

.Heavy rain over the past week across west central Florida has
caused several rivers to rise above flood stage.  Additional
rainfall is forecast on Tuesday.  Horse creek has begun to recede
and has dropped below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-230134-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180524T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.180521T0100Z.180522T1200Z.180523T1800Z.NO/
934 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by tomorrow
  morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday
  early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.5 feet
  on Sep 7 1981.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.2  Mon 09 PM  14.5   13.5   11.3    9.0    7.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
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