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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
405 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
405 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms for primarily northeast lower
Michigan today. Severe are not expected.

Moderate to heavy rainfall will continue through daybreak over
northwest and far northern lower Michigan. Please see the areal
flood watch for further details.

Minor lakeshore flooding will be possible this afternoon into this
evening for most coastal areas of northwest lower Michigan, as
well as coastal areas in Presque Isle county.

Many rivers and small streams across northwest and far northern
lower, as well as in eastern upper Michigan, will continue to see
dramatic increases in water levels through today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.


Spotter activation is not anticipated.



Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1135 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

Antrim MI-Benzie MI-Charlevoix MI-Cheboygan MI-Crawford MI-Emmet MI-
Grand Traverse MI-Kalkaska MI-Leelanau MI-Manistee MI-Montmorency MI-
Otsego MI-Wexford MI-
1135 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
  Antrim County in northern Michigan...
  Benzie County in northern Michigan...
  Southeastern Charlevoix County in northern Michigan...
  Southwestern Cheboygan County in northern Michigan...
  Northwestern Crawford County in northern Michigan...
  Southeastern Emmet County in northern Michigan...
  Grand Traverse County in northern Michigan...
  Northern Kalkaska County in northern Michigan...
  Leelanau County in northern Michigan...
  Northern Manistee County in northern Michigan...
  Western Montmorency County in northern Michigan...
  Otsego County in northern Michigan...
  Northern Wexford County in northern Michigan...

* Until 500 PM EDT Friday.

* At 1135 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. Flooding is already occurring in the warned area.
  Between 1.5 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Traverse City, Boyne City, Gaylord, East Jordan, Leland, Kalkaska,
  Elk Rapids, Mancelona, Frankfort, Bellaire, Thompsonville, Empire,
  Ellsworth, Beulah, Antrim, Arcadia, Bingham, Elmira, Kingsley and
  Torch Lake.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected in the
warned area.


A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.


LAT...LON 4427 8638 4436 8632 4460 8628 4491 8604
      4513 8551 4500 8555 4501 8543 4516 8543
      4526 8518 4536 8461 4506 8430



Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1037 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Benzie-Grand
Traverse-Manistee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Traverse City, Gaylord, Mancelona,
Frankfort, Cheboygan, Manistee, St. James, Northport, Rogers City,
Charlevoix, and Petoskey
1037 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020


The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of Northern Lower Michigan, including
  the following areas, Antrim, Beaver Island and surrounding
  islands, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Emmet, Grand Traverse,
  Leelanau, Manistee, Otsego and Presque Isle.

* Through Friday afternoon

* A line of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms continue to
  stream across portions of Northwest Lower Michigan. Radar
  precipitation estimates show up to two and a half inches of rain
  have fallen across this area tonight. A look at upstream radars
  suggest additional heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms will
  continue to stream into the watch area overnight and Friday.

* Heavy rainfall will lead to the potential for flooding...
  especially in low areas.


Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert
for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding
should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.




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