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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
539 AM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-231045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
539 AM CDT Fri Oct 22 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

A warm front will lift into the region beginning tonight,
promoting moisture return into the area. Showers and thunderstorms
will develop across SE KS and move into the Missouri Ozarks
generally after 10pm. A marginal risk for severe storms exists
overnight, with small hail and lightning in the strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Higher probabilities for thunderstorms will shift north after
Saturday morning, however, thunderstorm chances cannot be ruled
out during the day, mainly north of Springfield.

Gusty winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible late Saturday
through Sunday ahead of the next system.

A more potent system will move into the area on Sunday, with an
enhanced risk of severe storms Sunday and Sunday night. The
highest chances of severe storms will be in the afternoon/evening.
All forms of severe weather are possible.

Additional thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schwartz



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