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3 products issued by NWS for: 5 Miles SE Taos Ski Valley NM
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
335 AM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

NMZ201>241-231200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
335 AM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Patchy fog may impact the east central and southeast plains of New
Mexico this morning, particularly along the Texas border, reducing
visibility and creating hazardous travel conditions.

Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across
portions of central and eastern New Mexico. Any ongoing or new fires
that develop will have the ability to spread rapidly. Outdoor burning
is not recommended.

Strong northerly crosswinds are likely tonight for locations near
the Oklahoma and Texas borders in the wake of a cold front. This may
also produce localized areas of blowing dust and reduced visibility.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible Saturday
afternoon over parts of northeast New Mexico, particularly from San
Miguel to western Union counties.

Confidence continues to increase for winter-related hazards Sunday
afternoon and persisting through at least Tuesday night. The first
hard freeze of the season is likely Sunday night across the east to
also include much of western and central New Mexico on Monday night.
Widespread winter precipitation in the form of snow as well as sleet
and freezing rain will be a concern as the storm impacts the region,
likely creating hazardous travel conditions. There are uncertainties
with respect to the specific details, but persons in northern and
central New Mexico should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and be
prepared for potential winter-related impacts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Contact your local law enforcement at 911 and the National Weather
Service at 1.888.386.7637 to report wildfire outbreaks.

$$

DPorter



Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
338 PM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

NMZ201>241-231100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
338 PM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...MAJOR WINTER-LIKE STORM EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

The extended spell of unusually warm and dry weather experienced
across northern and central New Mexico through most of September
and October appears to be coming to an end starting Sunday night.

Forecast models indicate an impressively strong cold front will
initiate the change Sunday night, barreling down the eastern
plains, and into the Rio Grande Valley. At the same time, an upper
level storm system will be organizing over the Great Basin. This
system will track southeast and over New Mexico Monday through
Tuesday night.

Precipitation is forecast to begin Sunday, mainly as light rain
or rain showers across the northwest half of the state. A wintry
mix of light rain, freezing rain, snow and ice pellets is
possible over portions of the eastern plains Sunday night through
Tuesday. High terrain rain and snow and lower elevation rain showers
will become more widespread from the Rio Grande Valley westward
Sunday night and Monday, then turn completely to snow Monday
night and Tuesday morning.

Significant accumulations of snow are possible over the northern
high terrain, as well as along the central mountain chain and over
northeast New Mexico. High temperatures Monday and Tuesday area
wide will range from around 15 to 35 degrees colder than normal.
Widespread hard freezes are expected Sunday night over the eastern
plains, and area wide Monday and Tuesday nights.

There remains some uncertainty on the exact track and speed of
this storm system across New Mexico. Anyone with travel and
recreational plans should keep abreast of the latest forecasts.
Take action now to protect tender vegetation and exposed pipes
from freezing.

Monitor NOAA weather radio, weather.gov/abq or your local media
for the latest updates on this potential winter storm.

$$

41



Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
305 AM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...NEAR RECORD WARMTH AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

.Southwest to west winds will strengthen today as low pressure
deepens over southeast Colorado and an upper level trough passes
over New Mexico. Strong winds will combine with low relative
humidity, near record warmth and an unstable airmass to create
critical fire weather conditions from the northern mountains and
central mountain chain across the northeast and east central
plains late this morning through this evening. Mountain wave
activity will also increase the likelihood for erratic winds along
and immediately east of the peaks of the Sangre de Cristo
Mountains.

NMZ102>104-107-108-230100-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.201022T1700Z-201023T0100Z/
North Central Mountains-Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-East Central Plains-
305 AM MDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...North Central, Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas
  Mountains, Northeast Highlands and Plains and the East Central
  Plains from late this morning through this evening.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest and west 20 to 30 mph with gusts to
  around 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 7 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
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