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4 products issued by NWS for: New Hartford NY
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Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
342 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

NYZ018-036-037-280845-
/O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0004.200228T1500Z-200301T0000Z/
Onondaga-Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Syracuse, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome,
and Utica
342 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 8 inches possible. Winds could gust as
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Onondaga, Madison and Southern Oneida counties.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusty winds may lead to areas of blowing
  snow and whiteout conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$



Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
343 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

NYZ015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-PAZ038-280600-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0004.200227T1200Z-200228T0600Z/
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-
Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-
Broome-Delaware-Bradford-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse,
Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida,
Rome, Utica, Cortland, Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly,
Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Sayre, and Towanda
343 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
  expected.

* WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Tioga,
  Broome, Delaware, Otsego, Chenango, Cortland, Onondaga,
  Tompkins, Schuyler, Chemung, Madison, Southern Oneida,
  Steuben, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
329 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020

NYZ018-036-037-272030-
Onondaga-Madison-Southern Oneida-
329 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$



Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook
NYC007-015-017-023-025-053-065-067-077-097-099-101-105-107-109-
123-PAC015-069-079-103-115-127-131-271700-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1200 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH MARCH 5...

This is the fourth in the series of regularly scheduled
hydrologic outlooks issued during the Winter and Spring season.
This outlook is designed to provide a general overview of river
flood potential (not flash flooding) across Central New York and
Northeast Pennsylvania for the next two weeks...February 20th to
March 5th.

...SUMMARY...

Although snow cover has increased across the Central New York
basins, snow depths and water equivalent remain generally only
near to below average in most locations, and especially across
Northeast Pennsylvania. The major rivers and headwater tributaries
are running slightly higher than typical for this time of year,
but there is no significant ice cover. Ground states remain
unusually moist and partially frozen. With a lack of significant
rainfall, or warmer than seasonally average temperatures expected
for the next two weeks, the overall assessment of the flood
potential for the NWS Binghamton hydrologic outlook area is BELOW
AVERAGE.

...CURRENT CONDITIONS...

.CHEMUNG BASIN...
.Precipitation (past 14 days): Above average.
.Snow Cover: Below average. Local areas near average.
.Snow Water Equivalent: Below average. Local areas near average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow: Average to above average
.River Ice: Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State: Very moist. Partially frozen.

.NORTH BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA BASIN (NY)...
.Precipitation (past 14 days): Above average.
.Snow Cover: Below average. Local headwaters above average.
.Snow Water Equivalent: Below average. Local headwaters above average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow...Above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State... Very moist. Partially frozen.

.UPPER MAIN STEM SUSQUEHANNA BASIN (PA)...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-day Average Streamflow...Above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State...Unusually moist. Partially frozen.

.UPPER DELAWARE BASIN...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-Day Avg. Streamflow...Much above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Reservoir Levels...Above the long term median.
.Ground State...Unusually moist. Partially frozen.

.OSWEGO DRAINAGE / FINGER LAKES...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow...Average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Lake Levels...Normal winter pools.
.Ground State...Extremely moist. Partially frozen.

...FORECAST OUTLOOK...

.FUTURE WEATHER CONDITIONS: The official 6 to 14 day outlook
indicates colder than seasonal mean temperatures and above
average precipitation. Ensemble mean forecast guidance confirms a
colder than usual temperature outlook, but suggests only a near
to below average precipitation profile through March 5th.

.LONG RANGE RIVER MODELING AND PROBABILITY FORECASTS:
The ensemble of river forecast system guidance suggests a limited
chance (10% or less chance) of minor flooding through early March
at some of the more sensitive headwater basins of the Susquehanna
and Upper Delaware basins. When comparing current hydrologic
forecast modeling against historical flows, most basins were
indicating an average to below average risk of flooding into the
first week of March.

...IN CONCLUSION...

This outlook estimates the potential for river and lake flooding
based on a current overview of hydro-meteorological factors which
contribute to flooding.

It is important to note that significant flooding does not occur
from snow melt alone. Rainfall is the most important factor in
determining the occurrence and severity of flooding in our area.

The next Winter/Spring Flood Outlook will be issued by this
office on March 5th 2020. If conditions change in the interim:
Flood Watches, Warnings or Advisories will be issued as
necessary.

$$

JAB



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
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