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2 products issued by NWS for: Bartlesville OK
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Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
748 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-220300-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
748 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.NOW...
National Weather Service Doppler radars continued to indicate
a large area of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall across
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The precipitation was
moving off to the north at around 20 mph across eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas.

Through 930 PM...Moderate to occasional heavy rainfall will
continue across mainly southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas, along and south of I-40. Areal movement of rainfall to
the east southeast will begin to limit rainfall amounts to the
south of I-44, with most significant rainfall generally continue
to the south. Where lighter rainfall occurs, average hourly
rainfall rates of a tenth or so of an inch are expected. South of
I-44, average hourly rainfall rates around from a tenth to a
quarter of an inch are anticipated. Locally higher rates around
one inch in an hours time are likely with the heaviest rainfall in
locations along and south of I-40.

$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along and South of Interstate 40.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Arkansas and Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET... .

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread heavy rainfall is expected across the region through
tonight with the greater potential for excessive rainfall becoming
more focused along and south of Interstate 40 through the
evening. This heavy rainfall will likely result in some flash
flooding and a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for much of
Eastern Oklahoma and all of Northwest Arkansas.

Widespread rain showers along with isolated thunderstorms will
continue across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas as a cold
front makes its way into the region and interacts with tropical
moisture in place. Rain will decrease through the evening across
northeast Oklahoma as the cold front ushers in drier air.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY through THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue across much of
eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas through Saturday night
as the cold front slowly pushes south. Heavy rainfall will
continue through Saturday night and into Sunday morning. An axis
of three to six inch storm-total rainfall amounts is expected
across southeastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas through
Sunday morning, with one to three inches possible across
northeastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Locally heavier
amounts are likely across southeastern Oklahoma. Flash flooding
will be possible into Sunday morning, and minor to moderate
mainstem river flooding is possible depending on where the
heaviest rainfall occurs.

An active weather pattern will continue across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas into late next week. Moist and unstable air will
remain over the area, and a couple cold fronts are expected to move
into the area on Tuesday and again on Thursday. Thunderstorms will be
possible each day from Sunday through Thursday but organized severe
weather is not expected at this time during this period.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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