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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
114 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018

Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
114 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

AREA...Primarily far southeastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 4 pm.

AREA...Along and north of Interstate 40.
ONSET...This afternoon.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to overspread eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas from the southwest this afternoon and
evening as a warm front moves northward across northern Texas to
near the Red River. The most unstable air is expected to remain along
and south of this warm front, which is also where the most
significant chances of severe weather will remain. Portions of far
southeastern Oklahoma will likely be close enough to the warm front
to warrant some risk of large hail, damaging downburst wind, and even
a very low tornado threat from mid afternoon through early this

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will develop into the area
overnight as a strong upper level storm system moves into the
Southern Plains from the west. The strongest thunderstorms will have
the potential to produce hail, although any severe weather threat is
expected to remain isolated with this activity.

Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

Strong west to northwest winds will prevail on Monday behind the
departing storm system. These winds will promote rapid wildfire
spread conditions across the region especially for areas along and
south of Interstate 40. Temperatures will gradually trend warmer
through the upcoming week. Above normal temperatures by late week
along with increasing southerly winds will raise fire weather
concerns for both Thursday and Friday. The next chance of
thunderstorms arrives next weekend. contains additional information.



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
300 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018

Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
300 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018

At 3:00 PM...Doppler radars detected scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms across portions of eastern Oklahoma. This
activity was occurring southwest of a Pawnee to Poteau line, and
moving northeast at around 35 mph.

Through 5:00 PM...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
will continue to lift northeast, gradually increasing in coverage
across the area. Some of this activity will likely spread into
west-central Arkansas during this time. Average hourly rainfall of
up to one tenth of an inch will be common, with locally higher
amounts to around one half inch possible in heavier downpours.


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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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