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2 products issued by NWS for: 5 Miles NNE Sageeyah OK
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
108 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
108 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Parts of Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Afternoon/Early Evening.

DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms will remain possible this afternoon and early
evening across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest
Arkansas in the vicinity of of an outflow boundary left behind
from early morning storms. Organized severe weather is not
expected, however an isolated storm or two may produce hail up to
quarter size or wind gusts to near 60 miles an hour late this
afternoon or early this evening across parts of northeast
Oklahoma.

Additional showers and thunderstorms may move into the area late
tonight or mmore likely Sunday morning, but severe weather is not
expected with these storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and storms are expected daily beginning Sunday
and likely continuing through midweek. Locally heavy rainfall is
likely with the repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms.
Flooding concerns may eventually increase next week, including
the potential for main stem river flooding. The overall pattern
does not favor widespread severe weather, however some increase in
severe potential may develop Monday and Tuesday as higher
instability develops across the region.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
126 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-OKZ054>072-152030-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Osage-
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-
McIntosh-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah,
Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah,
and Sallisaw
126 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

.NOW...
At 1:26 PM...Doppler radars detected scattered rain showers over
far northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. These showers were
moving east at around 30 mph.

Through 3:30 PM...Scattered rain showers, and an isolated
thunderstorm or two will be possible for locations across
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, along and north of a
Coweta to Red Star line. Hourly rainfall rates of one tenth of
an inch or less will be common, with isolated locally higher
amounts possible in heavier downpours and where thunderstorms
occur.

$$




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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