Watches, Warnings & Advisories



One product issued by NWS for: Jay OK

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
530 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
530 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid to Late Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
South winds will gust to near 30 miles an hour at times today
across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop from parts of southeast
Oklahoma into western Arkansas by mid to late afternoon. These
storms will have a limited severe weather potential with large
hail being the main threat. By late afternoon, storms may begin to
form near a cold front that will be entering northeast Oklahoma.
These storms will continue well into the evening and will advance
southeast with the cold front. The greatest storm coverage will be
across far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. All severe
hazards will be possible with these storms through the evening
hours. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible with the
storms this evening, mainly across parts of northwest Arkansas.

Additional storms may develop along the cold front late tonight
across mainly southeast Oklahoma, and will carry at least a
limited severe weather threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms may be ongoing Wednesday morning across mainly
southeast Oklahoma with a continued severe weather threat.
Additional storms will form throughout the day Wednesday as the
frontal boundary stalls near the Red River. Severe weather and
heavy rainfall will both be possible with these storms.

Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected
Thursday afternoon and evening as an upper level storm system
moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will again be
possible at this time.

An active weather pattern will continue through the weekend with
periodic storm chances. As of now, it appears the best chance for
severe storms over the weekend will be Saturday evening and
overnight.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$