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2 products issued by NWS for: 5 Miles ENE Park Hill OK
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Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
652 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-OKZ054>072-160230-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Osage-
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-
McIntosh-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah,
Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah,
and Sallisaw
652 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

.NOW...
At 6:52PM National Weather Service doppler radars detected widely
isolated showers and storms across parts of northeast Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas. This activity was moving east-northeast at
15 to 25 miles per hour. The strongest storm activity was located
over west-central Osage county.

Through 9:30PM... additional showers and storms will be possible
along a nearly stationary boundary draped along and near
interstate 44. Strong to severe storms will becoming increasingly
unlikely as the evening progresses though a storm or two near the
Oklahoma and Kansas border may produce gusty winds and/or hail up
to quarter size. Heavy rainfall will accompany these storms with
rainfall rates briefly exceeding one inch per hour.

$$
Snider




Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
445 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
445 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Parts of Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Afternoon/Early Evening.

DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms will remain possible late this afternoon and into
the evening across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest
Arkansas in the vicinity of of an outflow boundary left behind from
early morning storms. Organized severe weather is not expected,
however an isolated storm or two may produce hail up to quarter size
or wind gusts to near 60 miles an hour mainly this this evening
across parts of northeast Oklahoma.

Additional showers and thunderstorms may move into the area late
tonight or more likely Sunday morning, but severe weather is not
expected with these storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain
Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and storms are expected daily beginning Sunday
and likely continuing through midweek. Locally heavy rainfall is
likely with the repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms.
Flooding concerns may eventually increase next week, including
the potential for main stem river flooding. The overall pattern
does not favor widespread severe weather, however some increase in
severe potential may develop Monday and Tuesday as higher
instability develops across the region.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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