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4 products issued by NWS for: Rentiesville OK
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along and South of Interstate 40.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Arkansas and Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET... .

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread heavy rainfall is expected across the region through
tonight with the greater potential for excessive rainfall becoming
more focused along and south of Interstate 40 through the
evening. This heavy rainfall will likely result in some flash
flooding and a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for much of
Eastern Oklahoma and all of Northwest Arkansas.

Widespread rain showers along with isolated thunderstorms will
continue across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas as a cold
front makes its way into the region and interacts with tropical
moisture in place. Rain will decrease through the evening across
northeast Oklahoma as the cold front ushers in drier air.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY through THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue across much of
eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas through Saturday night
as the cold front slowly pushes south. Heavy rainfall will
continue through Saturday night and into Sunday morning. An axis
of three to six inch storm-total rainfall amounts is expected
across southeastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas through
Sunday morning, with one to three inches possible across
northeastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Locally heavier
amounts are likely across southeastern Oklahoma. Flash flooding
will be possible into Sunday morning, and minor to moderate
mainstem river flooding is possible depending on where the
heaviest rainfall occurs.

An active weather pattern will continue across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas into late next week. Moist and unstable air will
remain over the area, and a couple cold fronts are expected to move
into the area on Tuesday and again on Thursday. Thunderstorms will be
possible each day from Sunday through Thursday but organized severe
weather is not expected at this time during this period.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
451 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-220000-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
451 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.NOW...
National Weather Service Doppler radars continued to indicate
a large area of moderate to heavy rainfall across eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas. The precipitation was moving off to the
north at around 20 mph across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas.

Through 630 PM...Moderate to heavy rainfall will continue across
much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Areal movement to
the east southeast will begin to limit rainfall amounts to the
north of I-44, with most significant rainfall generally to the
south. Where lighter rainfall occurs, average hourly rainfall
rates of several hundredths of an inch are expected. South of
I-44, average hourly rainfall rates around a tenth to a quarter of
an inch are anticipated. Locally higher rates around one inch in
an hours time are likely with the heaviest rainfall.

$$



Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
433 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2018

OKC091-121-220030-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.Y.0080.180921T2133Z-180922T0030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
McIntosh OK-Pittsburg OK-
433 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2018

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
  McIntosh County in southeastern Oklahoma...
  Western Pittsburg County in southeastern Oklahoma...

* Until 730 PM CDT.

* At 431 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain over the region.
  This will cause minor flooding in the advisory area. Rain rates
  around 1 inch per hour are occurring.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  Mcalester...                      Kiowa...
  Savanna...                        Indianola...
  Hanna...                          Ashland...
  Stidham...                        Raiford...
  Haywood...                        Vivian...
  Mcalester Regional Airport...     Lake Eufaula State Park...
  Scipio...                         Pittsburg...
  Hitchita...                       Arpelar...
  Vernon...                         Pierce...

Additional rainfall is expected over the area. If this were to
continue for a long period of time, the area may need to be
considered for an upgrade to a flash flood warning.

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 244 and
261.

LAT...LON 3468 9589 3468 9609 3505 9609 3512 9603
      3512 9601 3515 9601 3515 9598 3537 9598
      3538 9588 3546 9587 3547 9582 3555 9582
      3555 9553 3461 9588

$$

Lacy



Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
405 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

...Potential for heavy flooding rains continues...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-220515-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180923T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-
Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-
Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Tulsa,
Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner,
Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester,
Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau
405 PM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Arkansas and Oklahoma...including the following
  counties...in Arkansas...Benton...Carroll...Crawford...
  Franklin...Madison...Sebastian and Washington AR. in
  Oklahoma...Adair...Cherokee...Choctaw...Creek...Delaware...
  Haskell...Latimer...Le Flore...Mayes...McIntosh...Muskogee...
  Okfuskee...Okmulgee...Pittsburg...Pushmataha...Rogers...
  Sequoyah...Tulsa and Wagoner.

* Through Sunday morning

* Widespread rains of 2 to 6 inches are possible across much of
  eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas south of highway 412
  through Saturday night, with locally higher amounts up toward 9
  inches.

* These rainfall amounts could lead to flash flooding,
  especially near low-lying areas and smaller creeks and
  streams. Minor to moderate river flooding is also possible
  over those basins which receive the highest amounts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A flash flood watch means rapidly rising water or flooding is
possible within the watch area.

If you are in the watch area, keep informed, and be ready for
quick action if flash flooding is observed or if a warning is
issued.

&&

$$

Lacy




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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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