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FNAK79 PAFG 121558
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for McDonald 119...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
758 AM AKDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A upper level low pressure trough just north of the fire will move
over the fire this morning and move south of the fire this afternoon.
This is causing numerous showers this morning, with the showers
diminishing by late morning, and then clouds breaking up in the afternoon to
allow isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

A thermal low pressure trough over the fire will move north of the
fire today and further north on Thu. This will cause west winds to
increase this afternoon and persist into Thu with winds diminishing
overnight tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) with dense smoke and fog in
                    the morning, then partly sunny (50 percent) in the
                    afternoon. Numerous showers this morning, then
                scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 3-5 mph increasing to 10 mph in the mid to late
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10-15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...2 PM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph decreasing to southwest 3 mph after
                    midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West 5-10 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60 percent) becoming mostly sunny (40 percent)
                    in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 3 mph becoming west 5-8 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...11 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around
7 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415850.6/AFG
.DELDT 06/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0