Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
207
FNUS53 KAPX 200857
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
...Chances for showers and thunderstorms into tonight...
.DISCUSSION...A slow moving cold front will enter lower Michigan
tonight. Chances for showers and a few thunderstorms will increase.
Those chances are highest from midday today through this evening.
Winds will be from the south today, with some gustiness from late
morning into this evening. Humidity levels will be much higher, and
temperatures will be cooler today. Precipitation should end by
Saturday morning, which should be a touch warmer and less humid.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-202200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers
and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (408).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.35 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
2400. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.24 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (182).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-202200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms and isolated rain showers after
1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (415).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.26 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 1 degree warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (233).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-202200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
1200, then numerous rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.34 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
2400. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 24 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (171).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ031>033-202200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
1200, then numerous rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (409).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.48 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
2400. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (206).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-202200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
457 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (482).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.17 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
2400. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.30 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (333).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JZ