714
FXUS61 KCTP 110309
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1109 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
* After a cool overnight, temperatures will be on the rise
  through the week as high pressure brings a stretch of dry
  weather with relatively low humidity, light winds, and plenty
  of sunshine.
* The next significant chance of rain will be this Friday, as a
  cold front approaches from the Great Lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
Considerable cloudiness persists across the Allegheny Plateau
heading into the overnight hours. A few light rain showers or
sprinkles remain possible near the Mason-Dixon line.

It will be another cool overnight, with low temperatures
dipping into the 40s across the Allegheny Plateau and the low to
mid 50s in the Susquehanna and Cumberland valleys.

If we can get the clouds to break, we could see a bit of fog
formation overnight as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The upper trough that has kept temperatures on the cool side the
past few days will begin to lift out of the area on Tuesday.
The northwest mtns should see a 5-10 degree bump in max temps,
while more modest warming of perhaps a couple of degrees is
expected elsewhere.

High pressure will begin to build in Tuesday night, which will
support clearing skies and calm winds. Patchy valley fog is
possible, with overnight lows ranging from the upper 40s
northwest to mid 50s southeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
We`re still expecting a warm up for the second half of the
week, with afternoon highs topping out Thursday for most
locations, and perhaps Friday for SE PA.

The next chc of rain will come in the form of showers/storms in
the Thursday night into Friday timeframe, accompanying the
arrival of a cold front. The potential for stronger storms may
end up being determined by the timing of the cold front.

Next weekend looks dry, as a northerly flow of drier air from
Canada is advected into our area. Any slight cool down on
Saturday will be short-lived, with warmer temperatures progged
to build back into the area Sunday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Mainly VFR across much of the airspace today, with the exception
of the NW sites where low clouds will likely hold MVFR
conditions through tonight. Gusty winds will occur as a upper
level trough swings through central PA. Winds are not expected
to gust high enough to reach LLWS criteria, but sites today
could see gusts up to 25kts. Northwest winds will gradually
diminish this afternoon as high pressure builds in across the
Great Lakes.

Cloud will continue to build in through tonight, but most sites
should maintain VFR with ceilings likely to remain near
5000ft. Some lower clouds are possible across the west and north
of PA, and BFD will likely (~80%) keep its MVFR cigs through
tomorrow morning. Light patchy ridgetop fog could also develop
in the NW, but confidence is low enough to not mention it in
the BFD TAF.

Outlook...

Tue-Thu...Predominantly VFR w/ no sig wx expected.

Fri...Restrictions possible if afternoon/evening CB/TSRA
develops.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Evanego
NEAR TERM...Evanego
SHORT TERM...Evanego/Bowen
LONG TERM...Martin/Evanego
AVIATION...Guseman/Bowen