Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
376 FNUS28 KWNS 042019 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0317 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level ridge will settle over the western CONUS as northwesterly flow aloft becomes established across the eastern CONUS through the remainder of the week into this weekend. Thereafter, medium range guidance depicts a gradual breakdown of the upper-level ridge into early next week, with perhaps a mid-level trough developing over the southern Plains at the end of the period (Day 8/Tuesday). The evolution of the aforementioned upper-air pattern will support multiple rounds of potential meaningful rainfall at several locales east of the Rockies, dampening fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread in the process. However, prolonged warm and dry conditions are expected from portions of the Lower Colorado River Basin into the Great Basin. Medium range guidance agreement on stronger surface winds overlapping the expected lower RH is not overly strong, so no Critical probabilities have been delineated this outlook. However, the prolonged dry conditions, along with the lack of appreciable rainfall accumulations, should support the continued curing of fuels over portions of the Interior West. ..Squitieri.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$