Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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735 FXUS64 KEPZ 270703 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 103 AM MDT Mon May 27 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 100 AM MDT Mon May 27 2024 It will very warm to hot each afternoon with some breezes. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 100 AM MDT Mon May 27 2024 UL ridge begins to build across New Mexico through about Wednesday before it slides to the east across the Plains. This will allow a low-amplitude trough to pass through on Thursday but with little consequence. UL ridge will begin to rebuild again through the rest of the period with occasional slow downs as UL troughs pass well to our north like on Saturday. This pattern will cause our temperatures to climb well into the 90s. El Paso may see its first 100 degree this week with latest NBM forecasting that to happen on Tuesday and again on Sunday. It will also remain quite dry with some afternoon breezes. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024 We will see VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. The low end gusty winds have dropped off. We will see light west winds tonight, but the low end gusty winds will return for Monday afternoon. Our ceilings will continue to be unlimited tonight and through the day tomorrow. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 100 AM MDT Mon May 27 2024 Fire weather conditions will change very little day-to-day. Each afternoon will see single-digit RH values with afternoon highs running a few degrees above normal. Overnight recoveries will remain poor to fair. Winds will top out around 10 to 15 MPH each afternoon. Venting will be very good to excellent. Smoke transport will generally be to the east to northeast with variance overnight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 99 69 100 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 93 66 95 62 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 96 61 98 60 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 93 59 96 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 71 48 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 92 59 95 60 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 85 56 86 54 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 95 55 96 55 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 93 56 94 56 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 96 66 98 65 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 97 59 99 57 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 100 64 102 60 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 89 64 92 61 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 99 64 100 63 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 94 59 96 59 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 94 69 97 67 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 93 56 95 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 95 56 97 55 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 96 61 97 62 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 93 60 95 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 84 52 85 51 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 81 51 83 48 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 80 51 83 49 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 85 52 87 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 90 58 93 57 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 92 54 95 54 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 86 51 88 50 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 89 52 91 52 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 91 54 94 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 86 56 89 56 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 88 56 90 55 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 93 55 95 54 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 94 56 95 57 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 94 57 95 57 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 88 58 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...34-Brown