803
FXUS61 KILN 061347
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
947 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front moving through the region today will result in
the potential for a few showers. High pressure and a drier,
cooler airmass will settle into the Ohio Valley tonight into
Friday. Another chance for showers and a few thunderstorms will
return for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
Generally tranquil weather is expected today between a cold
front to the east and high pressure to the west. Weak cyclonic
flow will persist between the front and high as a secondary weak
cold front/surface trough moves east across our area. With some
modest instability developing through this afternoon ahead of
this, it will be tough to rule out a few showers so will allow
for a 20 pop across about the southeast two thirds of our area
this afternoon. Temperatures will be fairly seasonable with
afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
Any lingering shower activity across our southeast should taper
off heading into this evening as the cold front moves through.
A drier and slightly cooler airmass will settle into the region
tonight into Friday as surface high pressure builds east into
the Tennessee and lower Ohio Valleys. Lows tonight will be in
the mid to upper 50s with highs on Friday in the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
West to northwest flow aloft will persist through the weekend
into early next week. An embedded mid level short wave will
slide east south east across the southern Great Lakes Saturday
into Sunday. This will lead to some lower end chances for
showers and perhaps a thunderstorm through the weekend.
Temperatures will remain a few degrees below normal Saturday and
Sunday with afternoon highs in the 70s.

Surface high pressure and a drier airmass will build east
across the Ohio Valley Monday into Tuesday. Monday looks to be
the coolest day of the long term period with highs in the low
to possibly mid 70s. Temperatures will then begin to moderate
back to near normal readings through mid week. This will be
ahead of an approaching mid level short wave that will eventually
lead to a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms by mid
week.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Sct-bkn IFR cigs will continue to dissipate through mid morning
as well as patchy MVFR br as some drier air filters in from the
northwest. A secondary cold front will move through the area
today. This will result in some scattered cu development along
with the potential for a few showers. High pressure will build
into the area tonight into Friday with VFR conditions
prevailing through the remainder of the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Saturday
night and Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...Coniglio/JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JGL