Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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625
FXUS62 KKEY 230226
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1026 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

Currently - A surface through lower level Atlantic ridge stretches
west southwestward across the southeast and Florida. As a result,
surface winds have been light and predominantly out of the east.
Sharp ridging remains in place aloft. This sharp ridging has
contributed to falling precipitable water. This evenings sounding
indicated around 1.25 inches with drier air now evident above a
weak sub 900 mb inhibition layer. While this has drastically
limited shower activity, it hasn`t prevented a number of clusters
from firing along old South Florida sea breeze boundaries. These
showers have been unable to make much progress into the Keys and
have largely remained over our gulf and bay side waters.

Short Term Update - No significant change is forecast for the
overall synoptic makeup for Keys weather through the overnight
period. Lower level ridging will remain in place to our north and
keep winds broadly out of the east. The weak but steady flow will
keep most locations lows in the 80s. However, a few locations may
see near 80. There is no reason for dew points to move from the
current lower 70s. Ample dry air above the boundary layer  and
weak inhibition will limit shower potential. No changes planned
for the local forecast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

Atlantic ridging stretching west southwestward across the
southeastern United States will maintain light to gentle broadly
easterly breezes on Keys waters through the overnight period. Only
minor adjustments made in the evening marine update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals. Surface
winds will be light and broadly out of the east.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....DR

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