Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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529
FNUS74 KMOB 061013
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 418...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
513 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today,
beginning before sunrise. A weak cold front will cross the burn site
late this afternoon. Fair to generally good dispersions are expected
today.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the northwest 6 to 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-1280 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph shifting to the north 7 to 8
                    mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    north 3 to 4 meters/second in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 40.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  53  51  52  52  53  48  44  40  37
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............73  78  81  83  86  86  88  87  87  88
RH..............93  85  79  74  65  65  61  63  63  61
20 FT wind dir..WSW W   W   W   WNW WNW WNW NW  NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.6   8   9   10  12  12  13  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.2 3.6 3.1 3.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.WSW W   W   W   W   NNW NNW NNW N   N
Transp wind spd.6   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
Trans wind dir..WSW W   W   W   W   NNW NNW NNW N   N
Trans spd (m/s).3   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..8   11  18  26  33  37  39  36  32  32
LVORI...........7   5   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-945 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  29  20  11  2   2   3   4   5   5   7   7
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  86  81  79  77  76  75  73  72  72  71  70
RH..............63  63  74  79  85  87  87  93  93  93  93  97
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   3   3       3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW N   NW  NW  NNW NNW N
Transp wind spd.8   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
Trans wind dir..N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW N   NW  NW  NNW NNW N
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
Dispersion idx..32  3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1890 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 87.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   5   4   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  72  75  80  84  86  89  91  92  92  92  91
RH..............100 93  84  72  63  57  48  44  41  41  40  41
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  12  13  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.3 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  12  13  13  12
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..2   5   8   15  24  37  47  61  71  81  86  86
LVORI...........9   7   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415634.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov