Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
952
FNUS74 KMOB 101856
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for GSP...Alabama Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Mobile AL
156 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms are possible throughout the
afternoon hours and we may see an increase in storms late this afternoon
near the burn site as a cold front clashes with the sea breeze. Gusty,
erratic winds can be expected with storms. Rain chances decrease to near
zero at the burn site through the morning tomorrow. Minimum relative
humidity remains above critical thresholds. Transport winds remain west
to west-northwest this afternoon and turn northerly tomorrow. Afternoon
dispersion is fair today and tomorrow.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning becoming east
around 5 mph, then shifting to the south early
in the afternoon becoming light. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph shifting to the west 6 to
7 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 4 meters/second decreasing to
3 to 4 meters/second in the morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the west around 3
meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 22 early in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56 42 31 21 23 21 25 28 34 34 26 18
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............75 75 77 81 84 87 88 89 89 89 89 88
RH..............84 84 79 67 59 53 54 54 54 56 57 59
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NNE NE ENE ENE E E SSE S S SSW
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.8 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE N W WSW W
Transp wind spd.9 10 10 9 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
Trans wind dir..NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE N W WSW W
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..8 16 18 20 22 23 25 26 26 23 22 22
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph after 3
am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
8 to 9 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 3 meters/second shifting to
the northeast around 4 meters/second overnight.
Dispersion index....22 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15 23 22 21 20 26 32 38 34 30 26 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............87 85 83 82 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72
RH..............61 65 67 69 77 74 74 74 71 71 73 73
20 FT wind dir..SW WSW W WNW NW NNW N N N NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW WSW WSW W WNW NW N NNE NNE NNE NNE NE
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9
Trans wind dir..SSW WSW WSW W WNW NW N NNE NNE NNE NNE NE
Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..22 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
around 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
shifting to the south 5 to 6 mph late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1097 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph shifting to the south
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 4 meters/second decreasing to
3 to 4 meters/second in the morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the south around 3
meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 23 in the late morning and
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 25 27 30 32 31 31 30 27 25 23 24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 72 75 80 85 87 89 90 90 90 90 89
RH..............76 73 66 58 51 50 48 49 49 49 50 52
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NE NE NE ENE E ESE SE S SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE E S SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
Trans wind dir..NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE E S SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..7 14 16 19 22 24 24 26 24 24 23 23
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Richard Fields
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415908.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL richard.fields@forestry.alabama.gov