516
FNUS73 KMPX 281153
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Ordway Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
653 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Clouds will gradually diminish through the day today
with no additional precipitation expected. Winds will come from
the north, with sustained speeds 10-15 mph gusting to around 20mph.
RH will bottom out around 45 percent late this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........53 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................86 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 10 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /23600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /103600 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  55  57  58  60  61  62  62  62  63  62  61
RH..............86  80  69  67  60  53  52  50  50  46  50  49
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  12  13  14  14  15  15  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.14  15  17  18  21  21  21  21  21  21  20  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 3.2 4.9 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.0 4.7 4.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  18  20  21  22  22  20  21  20  18  17  16
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 5 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (71200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph shifting to the northeast 8
                    to 9 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (60000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph shifting to the southeast 8
                    to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Calderone
Requested by...Matt Graeve
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415189.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mgraeve@tnc.org