Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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154 FXUS63 KPAH 110055 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 755 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cool temperatures tonight, with lows in the upper 40`s to upper 50`s. - Heat and humidity arrive the second half of the week through next weekend. - Dry weather is expected for the next several days, with the next chance of rain not forecast until early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Tranquil weather is expected for the entire forecast period, with much warmer temperatures by the end of this week and into the weekend. The warmest days will be Friday and Sunday with temperatures in the 90`s. Northwest flow aloft remains in place through Wednesday helping to maintain high pressure across the Ohio Valley. E/NE flow will continue to filter in drier and cooler air Tuesday and Wednesday. Low temperatures tonight will be cool especially across portions of southern IL and SW Indiana where lows will dip into the upper 40`s to lower 50`s. Upper troughing across the central Appalachians begins to move east while upper level ridging develops across the four corners. The warm up begins on Wednesday as highs reach back into the middle 80`s. Upper level ridging builds across the central US Thursday into the weekend. High temperatures continue to rise with highs approaching 90 by Thursday, and low to mid 90`s on Friday. Southerly flow begins to advect gulf moisture poleward late this weekend and especially into early next week. Temperatures at 850mb begin to approach 20-22C on Sunday which supports highs in the low to mid 90`s. NBM continues to paint high probabilities for greater than 90 degrees for much of the area (60-70+%). Not seeing much if any precipitation this week. Guidance still shows a front approaching on Friday but with limited moisture to work with NBM keeps the forecast dry. Early next week looks to feature increasing PoPs with better moisture advection. This increased moisture also means heat index values will be on the rise with indices in the upper 90`s to near 100 this weekend and into early next week. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 754 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 VFR conditions with light winds expected through this TAF issuance as high pressure remains in control of the weather across the Quad State. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...KC