454
FXUS62 KTBW 030549
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
149 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...New AVIATION...


.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 138 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

VFR conditions are anticipated through at least midday, though
intermittent MVFR ceilings are possible across southern terminals
tonight. Rain chances increase in the afternoon as moisture
increase and the sea breeze supports convection. Most of the
activity should move offshore after 00Z but some lingering storms
are possible through about 02Z. East to southeasterly winds
prevail before shifting from the west in the afternoon at
TPA/PIE/SRQ. Erratic and gusty winds will be possible near storms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 917 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon are winding down
this evening, but still in place across portions of the southern
half of the area. Expect some later afternoon and evening
scattered storms to again be possible Monday with some continued
upper energy and a bit more moisture in place. Some drier air then
moves over the peninsula Tuesday through the week. Current
forecast is on track with this and have little change for the
update.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  90  76  93  77 /  60  60  50  30
FMY  91  73  94  75 /  70  60  80  40
GIF  92  72  94  73 /  60  30  60  10
SRQ  90  74  95  75 /  60  60  60  40
BKV  91  68  95  70 /  60  40  50  20
SPG  90  79  93  80 /  60  60  60  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Delerme/Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT...Close