238
FXUS62 KTBW 040107
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
907 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 907 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Showers and an isolated storm continue to diminish as they push
offshore this evening. Have adjusted pops overnight to better
represent this. A little drier air moves over the peninsula for
tomorrow, but should still see some scattered storms in the later
afternoon and evening with the easterly flow and afternoon sea
breeze remaining near the coast. Current forecast is on track with
this and no other changes for the update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 907 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Showers are winding down this evening at the terminals. Should
clear over the next hour, with winds returning to the ESE and
skies clearing some. Light ESE winds continue through the morning,
then turn onshore and increase to around 10 knots at the coastal
terminals in the afternoon, with some scattered showers and storms
possible generally after 20Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 907 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Ridging continues across the area, keeping easterly flow with
afternoon sea breezes near the coast each afternoon for the next
few days. This will allow for some showers and storms to push
offshore in the evenings. No headlines expected through the period
and current forecast is on track with this.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  94  77  94 /  20  50  20  40
FMY  74  95  75  95 /  20  60  30  60
GIF  71  95  73  96 /  10  40  10  60
SRQ  74  94  76  94 /  10  40  30  40
BKV  67  95  69  95 /  10  40  10  40
SPG  78  92  79  92 /  30  50  30  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming