Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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959 FXUS62 KTBW 272325 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 725 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .UPDATE... A weakening frontal boundary will move south into the region tonight into Tuesday, bringing scattered showers and a few storms across our northern zones overnight. It still appears that some activity will make it farther south toward morning, but then westerly flow takes over and pushes any remaining rain off to the interior and eastern part of the peninsula through the rest of the day. The current forecast remains on track with no updates needed. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Mainly VFR conditions are expected. Sites could see some MVFR cigs develop toward morning, but confidence remains on the low side so will only mention here. A few showers will also be possible tomorrow, but again, chances are too low to mention in the TAFs. && .MARINE... A weakening frontal boundary will move south over the region tonight through Tuesday, bringing a chance for some showers, especially for the northern coastal waters. Overall, no headlines are expected through the period as weak high pressure builds back in for the rest of the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 79 91 78 95 / 20 30 0 10 FMY 77 94 76 96 / 10 20 10 30 GIF 75 95 74 97 / 10 30 10 20 SRQ 78 92 76 95 / 10 20 0 10 BKV 72 92 70 97 / 20 30 0 10 SPG 81 90 81 94 / 20 20 0 10 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 8 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ 05/Carlisle